Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Madeira (Funchal)

Referee: Rosa D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Nacional		Académico de Viseu

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.5
	1.73	3.5	3.9
	1.75	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.89	4.66
	1.75	3.92	4.8
	1.73	3.6	4
	1.77	3.75	4.3
	1.74	3.55	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.04)	3.7 ↑ (3.49)	4.32 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
53.3%

Draw
25.2%

Académico de Viseu
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.2%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

27.2%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional's performance.

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Nacional - Académico de Viseu Predictions

Users Predictions: Nacional will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Lucas Franca (G) 2. Aurelio J. (C) 3. Pola J. 40. Ulisses 5. Jose Gomes 8. Danilovic V. 10. Esteves L. 11. Witi 28. Carlos Daniel 77. Gustavo 9. Ramirez J.	75. Gril D. (G) 28. Bandarra M. 5. Arthur Chaves 4. Almeida A. (C) 77. Gomes H. 8. Kone S. 16. Mane S. 95. Martim Augusto 88. Marquinho 11. Ott G. 33. Andre Clovis
Substitutes
71. Diga 99. Dudu 1. Encarnacao R. (G) 20. Jota Garces 7. Macedo R. 21. Marakis S. 4. Paulo Vitor 18. Sousa A. 55. Sousa A.	94. Araujo G. 14. Kaua Vinicius 6. Messeguem S. 1. Monteiro J. (G) 22. Nduwarugira C. 17. Pereira R. 20. Petkov S. 10. Quizera F. 80. Welch J.
Coaches
Margarido T.	Simao J.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2.

Nacional is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Viseu is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
03.03.24	Oliveirense - Nacional	0:1 ✺
28.02.24	Leixões - Nacional	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Nacional - Penafiel	3:2 ✺
18.02.24	Feirense - Nacional	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Nacional - Vilaverdense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWLW
- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
04.03.24	Académico de Viseu - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
27.02.24	AVS - Académico de Viseu	2:0 ✺
21.02.24	Feirense - Académico de Viseu	0:3 ✺
18.02.24	Académico de Viseu - Oliveirense	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Académico de Viseu - Penafiel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
29.10.23	Académico de Viseu - Nacional	1:1
28.05.23	Nacional - Académico de Viseu	3:2
21.01.23	Académico de Viseu - Nacional	1:1
07.05.22	Nacional - Académico de Viseu	1:2
29.12.21	Académico de Viseu - Nacional	1:4
05.01.20	Académico de Viseu - Nacional	0:0
18.02.18	Académico de Viseu - Nacional	3:3

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