Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Marcolino de Castro (Santa Maria da Feira)

Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Feirense		Nacional

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	2.9	3.25	2.1
	3.1	3.4	2.2	Watch
	2.98	3.4	2.25
	3.21	3.61	2.25
	3	3.3	2.05
	3.19	3.28	2.16
	3.05	3.3	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.13)	3.36 ↑ (3.23)	2.17 (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feirense
30%

Draw
27.5%

Nacional
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.4%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

27.1%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Feirense - Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Feirense will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Nacional will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diego Callai (G) 76. Almeida F. (C) 4. Shimaga A. 5. Silva B. 88. Alves R. 70. Castro J. 6. Washington 20. Pereira J. 35. Sergio Conceicao 19. Antoine C. 77. Dudu Hatamoto	37. Lucas Franca (G) 71. Diga 4. Paulo Vitor 40. Ulisses 5. Jose Gomes 8. Danilovic V. 28. Carlos Daniel (C) 77. Gustavo 10. Esteves L. 11. Witi 9. Ramirez J.
Substitutes
7. Bras D. 71. Camara M. 99. Goncalves Mateus P. L. (G) 27. Jocu H. 10. Oche O. 72. Oliveira G. 9. Paredes J. 37. Picas 25. Shodipo O.	99. Dudu 1. Encarnacao R. (G) 20. Jota Garces 7. Macedo R. 21. Marakis S. 3. Pola J. 6. Shatri F. 18. Sousa A. 55. Sousa A.
Coaches
Sousa R.	Margarido T.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Feirense won 1.

Feirense is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nacional is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Feirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Feirense won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Feirense won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
12.02.24	Santa Clara - Feirense	2:1 ✺
29.01.24	Penafiel - Feirense	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Feirense - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Vilaverdense - Feirense	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Feirense - Torreense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLW
- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
10.02.24	Nacional - Vilaverdense	3:2 ✺
28.01.24	Nacional - Torreense	2:1 ✺
21.01.24	Marítimo - Nacional	3:1 ✺
15.01.24	Mafra - Nacional	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.24	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
16.09.23	Nacional - Feirense	1:0
21.04.23	Nacional - Feirense	0:0
06.11.22	Feirense - Nacional	1:1
15.05.22	Feirense - Nacional	4:1
10.01.22	Nacional - Feirense	2:1
Taça de Portugal
17.10.21	Feirense - Nacional	3:1 ET
Portuguese Liga 2
03.11.19	Feirense - Nacional	1:1

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