Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 4

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Madeira (Funchal)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6


	Nacional		Farense

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.4
	2.05	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.23	3.5	3.23
	2.05	3.54	3.59	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.51	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.4)	3.52 ↑ (3.37)	3.47 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
45.8%

Draw
26.9%

Farense
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28.2%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional's performance.

Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Nacional - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Lucas Franca (G) 22. Garcia 4. Ulisses 38. Ze Vitor 5. Jose Gomes 10. Esteves L. (C) 88. Matheus Dias 17. Daniel Penha 70. Appiah A. 72. Tiago Reis 7. Macedo R.	33. Velho R. (C) 28. Pastor 4. Jorge A. 44. Lucas Africo 70. Rivaldo 8. Barbosa R. 6. Neto 29. Claudio Falcao 7. Balde E. 9. Tomane 19. Millan A.
Substitutes
19. Baeza M. 8. Bruno Costa 9. Butzke A. 1. Encarnacao R. (G) 25. Freitas A. 77. Gabriel Santos 33. Goncalves C. 23. Isaac 18. Sousa A.	23. Canizares L. (G) 16. Geovanny 71. Jaiminho 77. Matias M. 93. Menino M. 3. Moreno M. 14. Poveda D. 34. Raul Silva 21. Soares F.
Coaches
Margarido T.	Mota J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Daniel Penha ⚽, Esteves L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Jorge A. 🟨,
51', Neto ↓, Menino M. ↑,
51', Millan A. ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
60', Balde E. ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
61', Appiah A. ↓, Gabriel Santos ↑,
61', Tiago Reis ↓, Butzke A. ↑,
63', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
67', Esteves L. 🟨,
67', Barbosa R. 🟨,
74', Macedo R. ↓, Isaac ↑,
76', Barbosa R. ↓, Matias M. ↑,
76', Lucas Africo ↓, Soares F. ↑,
81', Daniel Penha ↓, Bruno Costa ↑,
89', Butzke A. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 0, Isaac ⚽, Butzke A. (A),
90+3', Isaac 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1.

Farense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Farense: Kaique Pereira (Forearm injury) Luiz Felipe (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Liga Portugal
25.08.24	Arouca - Nacional	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Nacional - Sporting Lisbon	1:6 ✺
10.08.24	AVS - Nacional	1:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
19.05.24	Nacional - Mafra	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Tondela - Nacional	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWW
- SC Farense
Liga Portugal
23.08.24	Farense - Sporting Lisbon	0:5 ✺
17.08.24	Rio Ave - Farense	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	Farense - Moreirense	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Portimonense - Farense	0:0 ✺
31.07.24	Farense - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
14.05.23	Nacional - Farense	0:1
07.01.23	Farense - Nacional	1:0
24.04.22	Nacional - Farense	3:2
12.12.21	Farense - Nacional	2:2
Liga Portugal
13.02.21	Nacional - Farense	2:3
27.09.20	Farense - Nacional	0:1
Portuguese Liga 2
07.12.19	Nacional - Farense	1:0

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