Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 34

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Madeira (Funchal)

Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Nacional		Mafra

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	6.5
	1.29	5.25	7
	1.3	5.5	8.5
	1.3	5.66	9
	1.3	5.66	9
	1.29	5	7.5
	1.3	5.36	7.95
	1.29	5.2	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.43)	5.36 ↑ (4.47)	7.83 ↑ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
71.1%

Draw
17.2%

Mafra
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

20.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

19.7%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional's performance.

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Nacional - Mafra Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Mafra will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Lucas Franca (G) 2. Aurelio J. (C) 4. Paulo Vitor 40. Ulisses 5. Jose Gomes 18. Sousa A. 28. Carlos Daniel 77. Gustavo 10. Esteves L. 7. Macedo R. 9. Ramirez J.	16. Olafsson E. (G) 19. Diao O. 4. Goulart J. (C) 80. Balburdia M. 62. Fabinho 20. Miguel Sousa 6. Bravo P. 27. Nibe A. 17. de Sousa Dias Pedro Lopes A. F. 96. Fale M. 77. Matos R.
Substitutes
71. Diga 99. Dudu 1. Encarnacao R. (G) 33. Goncalves C. 20. Jota Garces 21. Marakis S. 3. Pola J. 6. Shatri F. 55. Sousa A.	1. Andre Paulo (G) 2. Beni D. 7. Dju M. 8. Gabriel L. 70. Lind J. 10. Pite 28. Souza A. 18. Sturgeon F. 44. Texel P.
Coaches
Margarido T.	Silas

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Ramirez J. (Pen),
35', Gustavo 🟨,
41', Fabinho 🟨,
44', Diao O. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Ramirez J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fale M. ↓, Gabriel L. ↑,
56', Miguel Sousa ↓, Sturgeon F. ↑,
64', Macedo R. ↓, Dudu ↑,
66', Matos R. ↓, Pite ↑,
69', Balburdia M. 🟨,
75', Jose Gomes ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
75', Carlos Daniel ↓, Jota Garces ↑,
79', Balburdia M. ↓, Souza A. ↑,
79', Nibe A. ↓, Dju M. ↑,
81', Esteves L. ↓, Shatri F. ↑,
81', Gustavo ↓, Diga ↑,
90+4', Souza A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 9).

Nacional is Qualified for Liga Portugal

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 0.

Nacional in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mafra is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nacional is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
12.05.24	Tondela - Nacional	2:3 ✺
05.05.24	Nacional - Porto B	4:0 ✺
28.04.24	Belenenses - Nacional	1:3 ✺
22.04.24	Nacional - Benfica B	3:1 ✺
14.04.24	Paços de Ferreira - Nacional	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWT
- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
12.05.24	Mafra - Santa Clara	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	AVS - Mafra	3:3 ✺
27.04.24	Mafra - Oliveirense	3:3 ✺
21.04.24	Académico de Viseu - Mafra	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Mafra - Feirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
15.01.24	Mafra - Nacional	0:0
13.02.23	Mafra - Nacional	3:3
21.08.22	Nacional - Mafra	0:2
13.03.22	Mafra - Nacional	3:2
24.10.21	Nacional - Mafra	1:1
08.02.20	Mafra - Nacional	1:1
25.08.19	Nacional - Mafra	0:0

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