Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Portimonense		Farense

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	2.6
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	2.52	3.35	2.58
	2.56	3.53	2.69
	2.64	3.22	2.64	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.5
	2.47	3.44	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.58)	3.31 ↓ (3.47)	2.59 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
36.9%

Draw
27.7%

Farense
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.9%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

27%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Portimonense - Farense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 6. Neves S. 32. Jarleysom 37. Mateus Sarara 17. Joao Reis (C) 8. Lobato S. 87. Pancadas Casimiro J. D. 47. Cagro W. 16. Thauan Lara 93. Welinton Junior 18. Mamede	99. Araujo B. (G) 43. Dario Miranda 29. Claudio Falcao (C) 26. Ruben 34. Herrero T. 8. Menino M. 20. Semedo Y. 17. Candeias A. 80. Ndiaye A. 21. Jaiminho 19. Oliveira L.
Substitutes
90. Canario F. 77. Cibois S. (G) 21. Dauda M. 22. De Bolle L. 7. Djassi D. 19. Dju M. 31. Edney 5. Heitor 73. Junior M.	4. Alysson 9. Carter A. 22. Carvalho M. (G) 7. Costa R. 25. Dorregaray D. 14. Poveda D. 46. Rafael Pontelo 90. Sangare B. 88. Teixeira R.
Coaches
Fernandes T.	Jose Faria

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Neves S. ⚽, Thauan Lara (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ndiaye A. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
46', Oliveira L. ↓, Carter A. ↑,
51', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
65', Menino M. 🟨,
67', Menino M. ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
67', Lobato S. ↓, Junior M. ↑,
75', Pancadas Casimiro J. D. ↓, Heitor ↑,
76', Dario Miranda ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
76', Jaiminho ↓, Sangare B. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 3.

Portimonense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Farense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.6:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	SC Farense	6	3	2	1	11:5	6	11
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4:6	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Portimonense - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.17%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Farense - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.96%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
09.05.26	Felgueiras - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Portimonense - Chaves	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Leixões - Portimonense	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Portimonense - Lusitânia	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Marítimo - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWLWL
- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
09.05.26	Farense - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Leiria - Farense	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Farense - Académico de Viseu	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Vizela - Farense	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Farense - Sporting Lisbon B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.01.26	Farense - Portimonense	0:1
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Portimonense - Farense	0:0
Liga Portugal
18.05.24	Farense - Portimonense	1:3
12.01.24	Portimonense - Farense	1:0
27.04.21	Farense - Portimonense	1:1
04.01.21	Portimonense - Farense	2:0
Club Friendly
22.07.17	Portimonense - Farense	3:2

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