Match Info

PORTUGAL: TAÇA DE PORTUGAL - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 11 January 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio da Madeira (Funchal)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Nacional		Rabo de Peixe

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	7.5
	1.36	4.6	6.5	Watch
	1.4	4.25	6.75
	1.36	4.5	6.8
	1.42	4.35	6.93
	1.35	4.33	8.5
	1.37	4.8	7.6	Watch
	1.39	4.7	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.38)	4.5 ↑ (4.47)	7.22 ↑ (7.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
66.8%

Draw
20.5%

Rabo de Peixe
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

20.6%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

19.7%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Rabo de Peixe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rabo de Peixe than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	36.4%	27.3%

Nacional - Rabo de Peixe Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Rabo de Peixe will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nacional is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
07.01.23	Farense - Nacional	1:0 ✺
29.12.22	Nacional - Benfica B	2:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
14.12.22	Covilhã - Nacional	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	Gil Vicente - Nacional	2:0 ✺
19.11.22	Nacional - Portimonense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWLW
- CD Rabo de Peixe
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.01.23	Rabo de Peixe - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
18.12.22	Juventude de Évora - Rabo de Peixe	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Rabo de Peixe - Esperança de Lagos	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Imortal - Rabo de Peixe	3:3 ✺
27.11.22	Rabo de Peixe - Praiense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTTW

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