Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Nacional Asuncion		Palestino

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.6
	2.05	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.13	3.25	3.77
	2.14	3.2	3.77
	2	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.34	3.6	Watch
	2.06	3.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.11)	3.24 ↑ (3.14)	3.62 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Asuncion
45.2%

Draw
28.9%

Palestino
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

29.4%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Nacional Asuncion - Palestino Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Palestino will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva A. (G) 17. Blasi B. 14. Nunez C. (C) 5. Ojeda S. 25. Rivas L. 6. Alfaro J. 7. Orzusa E. 33. Gaona Lugo O. 23. Duarte D. 38. Arevalo R. 11. Caballero G.	1. Rigamonti C. (G) 17. Roman I. 16. Bizama J. 13. Suarez C. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 22. Chamorro F. 5. Linares N. 8. Cornejo F. 28. Zuniga D. 9. Sosa G. 11. Benitez J.
Substitutes
31. Bazan N. 36. Benegas I. 10. Caballero Fleytas T. I. 26. Duarte E. 19. Gonzalez F. 16. Gonzalez M. 13. Meza L. 32. Morel F. 35. Peralta F. (G) 24. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 29. Vargas S. 8. Velazco F.	14. Abrigo J. 20. Araya M. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 26. Contreras D. (G) 10. Davila Carvajal M. 27. Marabel J. 23. Martinez Arce A. E. 24. Palacio P. 21. Riquelme A. 3. Rojas B. 19. Vejar B.
Coaches
Pumpido J. P.	Sanchez P.

Preview

1st leg.

Nacional Asuncion is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Palestino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nacional Asuncion will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Asuncion
Copa Libertadores
28.02.24	Atlético Nacional - Nacional Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.02.24	2 de Mayo - Nacional Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.02.24	Nacional Asuncion - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.02.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.02.24	Nacional Asuncion - SD Aucas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWW
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
02.03.24	Palestino - Universidad Católica	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.02.24	Palestino - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
24.02.24	Palestino - Cobreloa	5:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.02.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Palestino	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
09.12.23	OHiggins - Palestino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW

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