Match Info

PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción)

Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Nacional Asuncion		Sol de América

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.5
	2	3.25	3.75	Watch
	2	3.2	4.26
	1.92	3.25	4.23	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	1.92	3.37	3.98	Watch
	2	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.95)	3.24 ↑ (3.22)	3.9 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nacional Asuncion
47.5%

Draw
28.7%

Sol de América
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

29%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

28.1%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sol de América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de América than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Nacional Asuncion - Sol de América Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Rojas S. (G) 4. Alfaro J. L. 14. Nunez C. (C) 23. Monteagudo J. C. 25. Rivas L. 6. Alfaro J. 11. Caballero G. 17. Recalde J. 13. Meza L. 18. Quintana S. 8. Bareiro S.	36. Medina B. (G) 21. Barrios V. 2. Gimenez G. 4. Delvalle R. 14. Diaz F. 31. Acosta M. 18. Orue D. (C) 7. Valdez D. 11. Ortiz L. 19. Roa R. 29. Cabrera L.
Substitutes
5. Benitez G. 10. Caballero Fleytas T. I. 37. Campss J. 3. Canete Torres A. D. 22. Figueredo J. 21. Franco F. 33. Gaona Lugo O. 16. Jara F. 28. Martinez A. 35. Peralta F. (G) 24. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 29. Vargas S.	8. Amarilla C. 30. Benegas I. 32. Caceres E. 40. Dietze S. 9. Fernandez D. 16. Gimenez A. 27. Graterol A. 6. Jorge J. 38. Meza T. 17. Ojeda J. 1. Ortiz G. (G) 23. Quintana B.
Coaches
Bernay V.	Torres R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Meza L. 🟨,
42', Acosta M. ↓, Jorge J. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Recalde J. ↓, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↑,
46', Bareiro S. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ⚽, Alfaro J. L. (A),
55', Caballero Fleytas T. I. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Caballero G. ⚽, Quintana S. (A),
63', Alfaro J. 🟥,
64', Valdez D. ↓, Amarilla C. ↑,
64', Cabrera L. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
70', Quintana S. ↓, Santacruz Rodas J. F. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Caballero G. ⚽, Martinez A. (A),
79', Ortiz L. ↓, Caceres E. ↑,
79', Roa R. ↓, Dietze S. ↑,
83', Meza L. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
89', Caballero G. ↓, Gaona Lugo O. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Jorge J. ⚽, Amarilla C. (A),
90+2', Amarilla C. 🟨,
90+2', Rivas L. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 4.

Recent matches Nacional is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sol de América is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nacional will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Nacional won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.08.24	General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion	0:0 ✺
12.08.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0 ✺
07.08.24	2 de Mayo - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWLTW
- Sol de América
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.08.24	Sol de América - Tacuary	1:2 ✺
11.08.24	Cerro Porteño - Sol de América	1:0 ✺
06.08.24	Sol de América - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
02.08.24	Sol de América - General Caballero JLM	3:0 ✺
27.07.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Sol de América	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
25.05.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sol de América	3:0
08.03.24	Sol de América - Nacional Asuncion	1:0
06.10.22	Sol de América - Nacional Asuncion	2:3
Copa Paraguay
07.09.22	Sol de América - Nacional Asuncion	0:3
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.07.22	Nacional Asuncion - Sol de América	3:0
25.04.22	Nacional Asuncion - Sol de América	0:3
04.02.22	Sol de América - Nacional Asuncion	0:0

Upcoming Matches