Match Info

Serie Rio de la Plata

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Gran Parque Central (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nacional Montevideo		Deportes Concepción

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.04	5.5
	1.15	7.70	11.87	Watch
	1.42	4.2	6.29	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.22)	5.04 ↓ (5.4)	7.25 ↓ (11.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
68%

Draw
18.9%

Deportes Concepción
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.2%

17%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Montevideo's form might have worsened.

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Concepción's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nacional Montevideo - Deportes Concepción Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Concepción (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mejia L. (G) 5. Pintado J. 4. Coates S. (C) 29. Millan J. 34. Bais F. 23. Rodriguez L. 6. Boggio L. 7. Lopez N. 20. Carneiro G. 19. De Los Santos J. 9. Gomez M.	1. Cesar (G) 4. Caceres A. 37. Grillo F. 23. Rojas J. 21. Rodriguez N. 6. Vera M. 10. Valencia Rossel L. 16. Sandoval M. 30. Espinoza E. 19. Jara A. 32. Larrivey J. (C)
Substitutes
13. Ancheta E. 10. Dos Santos A. 17. Guzman Pizarro J. S. 14. Lodeiro N. 24. Mereles E. 30. Otero R. 33. Patino J. 37. Rodriguez L. 11. Silvera M. 25. Suarez I. (G) 22. Vera A.	25. Araya N. (G) 3. Carrasco D. 24. Cavalleri M. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 9. Escobar C. 7. Gillard A. 20. Henriquez Neira J. A. 17. Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 26. Romero L. 13. Suarez C. 11. Vejar B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Vera M. 🟨,
65', Carneiro G. ↓, Silvera M. ↑,
65', Lopez N. ↓, Dos Santos A. ↑,
72', Espinoza E. ↓, Cavalleri M. ↑,
75', Pintado J. ↓, Ancheta E. ↑,
75', Boggio L. ↓, Mereles E. ↑,
75', Bais F. ↓, Patino J. ↑,
79', Rojas J. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
83', Gomez M. ↓, Lodeiro N. ↑,
83', Rodriguez L. ↓, Vera A. ↑,
83', De Los Santos J. ↓, Guzman Pizarro J. S. ↑,
83', Jara A. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
86', Sandoval M. ↓, Henriquez Neira J. A. ↑,

Preview

Deportes Concepción has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Deportes Concepción may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
22.01.26	Nacional Montevideo - Progreso	1:2 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:1 penalties ✺
13.01.26	Nacional Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.11.25	Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ET ✺
23.11.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWWT
- Deportes Concepción
Serie Rio de la Plata
23.01.26	Montevideo City Torque - Deportes Concepción	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Cerro Largo - Deportes Concepción	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.26	Deportes Concepción - Coquimbo Unido	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
07.12.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Concepción	2:3 ✺
03.12.25	Deportes Concepción - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLWT

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