Match Info

Copa de la Liga AUF - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Gran Parque Central (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	AUFTV, DSports 1610


	Nacional Montevideo		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.55
	2.47	2.96	3.06	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.3
	1.68	3.52	4.57
	1.75	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.37)	3.35 ↓ (4.5)	4 ↓ (7.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
48.9%

Draw
27.8%

Deportivo Maldonado
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

20.4%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Montevideo's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Maldonado's recent form is better than expected.

Nacional Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Suarez I. (C) 15. Calione P. 30. Dos Santos A. 28. Frugone A. 39. Gonzalez 31. Martinez 24. Mereles E. 59. Nunez P. 2. Palacios H. 22. Vera A. 32. Viera T.	1. Freitas A. (G) 8. Cartagena S. 16. Cesar R. 9. de Leon E. 21. Espindola M. 15. Gonzalez S. 3. Menosse H. 5. Petryk H. 17. Ramirez S. 19. Tealde F. (C) 20. Tormo S.
Substitutes
34. Bais 12. Bonilla F. (G) 35. Clematte 36. Codina 5. Dalmas 56. Garcia 57. Montaos 16. Ramos 37. Rodriguez 38. Soria	10. Correa 2. Fuica N. 4. Ginzo J. M. 11. Lopez 13. Marino F. 7. Mozzone E. 24. Pirota 25. Segovia D. (G) 14. Tabo 23. Vila

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Petryk H. ↓, Ginzo J. M. ↑,
42', Menosse H. 🟨,
44', Cesar R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tealde F. ↓, Fuica N. ↑,
46', Ramirez S. ↓, Lopez ↑,
46', Cesar R. ↓, Mozzone E. ↑,
46', de Leon E. ↓, Tabo ↑,
60', Gonzalez S. ↓, Vila ↑,
61', Tormo S. ↓, Marino F. ↑,
61', Cartagena S. ↓, Correa ↑,
64', Mereles E. ↓, Bais ↑,
64', Frugone A. ↓, Clematte ↑,
67', Vera A. ↓, Montaos ↑,
73', Nunez P. ↓, Dalmas ↑,
73', Viera T. ↓, Ramos ↑,
79', Espindola M. ↓, Pirota ↑,
85', 🟨,
85', Palacios H. ↓, Rodriguez ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Ginzo J. M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Calione P. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Menosse H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Clematte (Penalty Awarded),
3, Tabo (Penalty Awarded),
3, Martinez (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mozzone E. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Dos Santos A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Vila (Penalty Awarded),
5, Gonzalez (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.

In this match, Nacional is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.11.25	Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ET ✺
23.11.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Cerro - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTTTT
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.11.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Atenas de San Carlos	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Colón Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Deportivo Maldonado - La Luz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
16.11.24	Nacional Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	5:2
20.05.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional Montevideo	0:2
23.10.23	Nacional Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:3
17.06.23	Nacional Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	4:0
18.03.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional Montevideo	0:0
30.07.22	Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional Montevideo	2:1
06.02.22	Nacional Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	2:3

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