Match Info

Date: 18 May 2021, Tuesday


	Nacional Montevideo		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.5
	2.65	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.6
	2.67	3.24	2.67
	2.7	3.2	2.62	Watch
	2.63	3.36	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.39)	3.26 ↓ (3.36)	2.59 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
35.4%

Draw
28.6%

Universidad Católica
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

20%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Católica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nacional Montevideo - Universidad Católica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Universidad Católica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
12.05.21	Atlético Nacional - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
05.05.21	Universidad Católica - Nacional Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Uruguayan Super Cup
02.05.21	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.21	Nacional Montevideo - Atlético Nacional	4:4 ✺
20.04.21	Argentinos Juniors - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWTL
- Universidad Católica
Copa Libertadores
12.05.21	Argentinos Juniors - Universidad Católica	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
08.05.21	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.05.21	Universidad Católica - Nacional Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
02.05.21	Deportes Melipilla - Universidad Católica	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.21	Universidad Católica - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
05.05.21	Universidad Católica - Nacional Montevideo	3:1

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