Match Info

Date: 5 May 2021, Wednesday


	Universidad Católica		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.08	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.08	3.4	3.3
	2.14	3.6	3.33
	2.15	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.11	3.55	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.97)	3.46 ↓ (3.47)	3.29 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
44.4%

Draw
27.1%

Nacional Montevideo
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

17.8%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Universidad Católica - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Universidad Católica is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Universidad Católica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Universidad Católica will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
02.05.21	Deportes Melipilla - Universidad Católica	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.21	Universidad Católica - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
22.04.21	Atlético Nacional - Universidad Católica	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.04.21	Universidad Católica - Curicó Unido	2:1 ✺
10.04.21	Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Super Cup
02.05.21	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.21	Nacional Montevideo - Atlético Nacional	4:4 ✺
20.04.21	Argentinos Juniors - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.04.21	Rentistas - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
04.04.21	Nacional Montevideo - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLWW

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