The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional Potosí 58.2%
Draw 21.9%
Independiente Petroleros 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.9%
21.1%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.6%
20.3%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 34. Medina K. 3. Amarilla N. 33. Demiquel L. 16. Torrico A. 22. Hoyos D. 18. Azogue P. (C) 10. Nunez M. 11. Tomianovic M. 28. Pena S. 9. Tobar T.
1. Gutierrez J. (G) 2. Torres S. 27. Navarro D. 3. Crescencio L. 77. Zamora R. 14. Urdininea C. 6. Rojas D. 19. Cristaldo G. (C) 93. Willie 7. Cardozo R. 91. Alvarez G.
Substitutes
27. Abastoflor C. 5. Alvarez S. 19. Alvarez W. 1. Arauz E. (G) 15. Arce Pari J. 2. Avila R. 21. Baldomar O. 30. Martinez Y. 25. Orellana J. 8. Pavia L. 7. Solis M. 99. Villalba D.
15. Bejarano J. 9. Gean 39. Grass P. 99. Jeferson Carioca 13. Montenegro L. 5. Palma L. 22. Rocabado Concha R. E. 4. Rodriguez L. 50. Roni Santos 28. Soleto W. 12. Vera J. (G) 59. Villavicencio J.
Coaches
Villegas E.
Thiago Leitao
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Tobar T. ⚽,
31', Urdininea C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Pena S. ⚽, Azogue P. (A),
63', Cardozo R. ↓, Jeferson Carioca ↑,
63', Urdininea C. ↓, Bejarano J. ↑,
74', Cristaldo G. ↓, Gean ↑,
75', Amarilla N. ↓, Alvarez S. ↑,
75', Azogue P. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
76', Tobar T. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Pena S. ⚽, Alvarez W. (A),
85', Hoyos D. 🟨,
87', Tomianovic M. ↓, Villalba D. ↑,
87', Nunez M. ↓, Baldomar O. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 3.
Nacional Potosí has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ind Petroleros is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ind Petroleros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Nacional Potosí is seen as the favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:27. (average 2.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Nacional Potosí won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 2.1:1.8).