Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 13

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Nacional SP		ECUS

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.68	2.08
	4.46	2.51	2.07
	4.26	2.64	2.08
	3.6	2.8	2
	3.71	3.19	2.01
	2.8	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (2.8)	2.77 ↓ (2.8)	2.12 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional SP
24.1%

Draw
32.9%

ECUS
43%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

32.2%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional SP's form might have worsened.

ECUS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ECUS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ECUS than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ECUS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nacional SP - ECUS Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ECUS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
21.03.26	Nacional SP - Colorado Caieiras	4:1 ✺
18.03.26	Araçatuba - Nacional SP	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Nacional SP - Penapolense	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Comercial SP - Nacional SP	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Nacional SP - Taquaritinga	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLL
- Esporte Clube União Suzano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
21.03.26	ECUS - Araçatuba	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Colorado Caieiras - ECUS	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Inter de Bebedouro - ECUS	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	ECUS - Jabaquara	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	ECUS - Tanabi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWL

Nacional SP - ECUS

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Nacional SP - ECUS Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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