Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 15

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Nacional SP		Inter de Bebedouro

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.3	1.68
	4.28	3.83	1.62
	4.53	3.72	1.66	Watch
	4.75	3.4	1.6
	4.34	3.36	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (3.74)	3.52 ↑ (3.17)	1.67 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nacional SP
20%

Draw
25.8%

Inter de Bebedouro
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

28.9%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

27.8%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Inter de Bebedouro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter de Bebedouro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter de Bebedouro than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter de Bebedouro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nacional SP - Inter de Bebedouro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Inter de Bebedouro is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Nacional SP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Inter de Bebedouro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Inter de Bebedouro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nacional SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
28.03.26	Barretos - Nacional SP	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Nacional SP - ECUS	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Nacional SP - Colorado Caieiras	4:1 ✺
18.03.26	Araçatuba - Nacional SP	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Nacional SP - Penapolense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWWL
- Inter de Bebedouro
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
28.03.26	Inter de Bebedouro - Taquaritinga	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Comercial SP - Inter de Bebedouro	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Inter de Bebedouro - Tanabi	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Barretos - Inter de Bebedouro	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Inter de Bebedouro - ECUS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
12.02.25	Inter de Bebedouro - Nacional SP	0:0

Nacional SP - Inter de Bebedouro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide