Match Info

JAPAN: J3 LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Ningineer Stadium (Matsuyama)


	Ehime		Matsumoto Yamaga

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.87
	2.34	3.23	3.06
	2.2	3.1	2.88
	2.27	3.25	2.96	Watch
	2.23	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.16)	3.19 ↑ (2.9)	2.93 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ehime
40.5%

Draw
28.5%

Matsumoto Yamaga
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

30.7%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.6%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ehime - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions

Users Predictions: Ehime will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tokushige K. (G) 16. Mihara S. 37. Morishita R. 33. Ogawa S. 4. Yamaguchi T. 3. Moriwaki R. 20. Yada A. 17. Motegi S. 6. Sasaki T. 38. Masukake Y. 11. Fukahori S.	16. Murayama T. (G) 48. Fujitani S. 44. Nonomura T. 43. Tokida M. 8. Shimokawa Y. 4. Ando A. 46. Yasunaga R. 9. Suzuki K. 15. Kikui Y. 19. Komatsu R. 23. Taki Y.
Substitutes
9. Duncan B. 26. Fukazawa Y. 25. Ishiura T. 49. Kurokawa R. (G) 8. Kutsuna K. 15. Oshiro K. 24. Sato R.	25. Enomoto I. 11. Kiyama K. 30. Kokubu R. 2. Miyabe T. 39. Shinohara K. 21. Victor (G) 49. Watanabe K.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ehime won 3.

Ehime in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Matsumoto Yamaga is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Ehime won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Ehime won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ehime FC
Japan J3 League
23.07.23	Kagoshima United - Ehime	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Vanraure Hachinohe - Ehime	1:2 ✺
09.07.23	Ehime - Kataller Toyama	4:3 ✺
01.07.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ehime	1:1 ✺
24.06.23	Ehime - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWTW
- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League
22.07.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Vanraure Hachinohe	3:0 ✺
16.07.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
08.07.23	Ryūkyū - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:1 ✺
01.07.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ehime	1:1 ✺
24.06.23	Grulla Morioka - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
01.07.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ehime	1:1
03.09.22	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ehime	2:1
18.06.22	Ehime - Matsumoto Yamaga	3:2
Japan J2 League
22.08.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ehime	0:1
21.04.21	Ehime - Matsumoto Yamaga	3:1
20.12.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ehime	2:0
23.02.20	Ehime - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2

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