Match Info

Date: 26 March 2022, Saturday


	Nagoya Grampus		Tokushima Vortis

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5.5
	1.6	3.4	5.25
	1.58	3.35	5.5
	1.6	3.5	6
	1.63	3.71	6.58
	1.57	3.25	6
	1.61	3.64	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.6)	3.48 ↓ (3.5)	5.85 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagoya Grampus
57.8%

Draw
26.5%

Tokushima Vortis
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

26.1%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

25.5%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Nagoya Grampus - Tokushima Vortis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 2.

Nagoya is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tokushima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tokushima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nagoya is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Nagoya won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League
20.03.22	Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Nagoya Grampus	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Nagoya Grampus - Sagan Tosu	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.03.22	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus	2:0 ✺
23.02.22	Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTLT
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
23.03.22	Tokushima Vortis - Blaublitz Akita	0:0 ✺
19.03.22	Omiya Ardija - Tokushima Vortis	0:2 ✺
12.03.22	Tokushima Vortis - Roasso Kumamoto	2:2 ✺
06.03.22	Tokushima Vortis - Tokyo Verdy	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.03.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokushima Vortis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
10.09.21	Nagoya Grampus - Tokushima Vortis	3:0
22.05.21	Tokushima Vortis - Nagoya Grampus	0:0
Japan J2 League
08.07.17	Nagoya Grampus - Tokushima Vortis	0:2
15.04.17	Tokushima Vortis - Nagoya Grampus	2:2
Japan J1 League
26.10.14	Tokushima Vortis - Nagoya Grampus	0:2
19.07.14	Nagoya Grampus - Tokushima Vortis	1:1

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