Match Info

J1 League - Round 5

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima (Hiroshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Nagoya Grampus

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.20	5.25	Watch
	1.58	4.33	4.80
	1.48	4.40	5.50	Watch
	1.60	4.60	5.34
	1.56	4.47	5.36	Watch
	1.56	4.50	5.25
	1.57	4.25	5.59	Watch
	1.57	4.50	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.68)	4.41 ↑ (3.75)	5.26 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
60.6%

Draw
21.4%

Nagoya Grampus
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

24.5%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sanfrecce Hiroshima's performance.

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Nagoya (3.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Ouchi I. (G) 15. Nakano S. 4. Araki H. (C) 19. Sasaki S. 5. Arai N. 6. Kawabe H. 14. Matsumoto T. 7. Higashi S. 11. Kato M. 8. Kawamura T. 10. Suzuki A.	35. Pisano A. (G) 2. Nogami Y. 13. Fujii H. (C) 55. Tokumoto S. 9. Asano Y. 15. Inagaki S. 31. Takamine T. 27. Nakayama K. 7. Izumi R. 22. Kimura Y. 11. Yamagishi Y.
Substitutes
23. Ayukawa S. 22. Haller S. 37. Kim Ju-Sung 32. Koshimichi S. 35. Nakajima Y. 46. Noguchi R. 1. Osako K. (G) 16. Shichi T. 18. Suga D.	49. Fukaya S. 33. Kikuchi T. 19. Koda H. 58. Koyamatsu T. 18. Nagai K. 41. Ono M. 3. Sato Y. 30. Sugiura S. 16. Takeda Y. (G)
Coaches
Gaul B.	Petrovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Inagaki S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kawamura T. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Kato M. ⚽,
73', Kato M. ↓, Ayukawa S. ↑,
73', Kawabe H. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
74', Asano Y. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
74', Izumi R. ↓, Koyamatsu T. ↑,
74', Nogami Y. ↓, Sato Y. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Suzuki A. ⚽, Haller S. (A),
82', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
85', Higashi S. ↓, Shichi T. ↑,
87', Matsumoto T. 🟨,
90', Suzuki A. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Haller S. ⚽, Ayukawa S. (A),
90+5', Sato Y. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 2.

Hiroshima is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nagoya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Nagoya has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Hiroshima: Asano T. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Nagoya: Marcus Vinicius (Broken Leg)

We predict that Hiroshima will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 10.48% Nagoya Grampus: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	2	0	8:2	6	8
8	Nagoya Grampus	4	2	0	2	6:5	1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 54.65%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League
29.08.26	Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Okinawa SV	4:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - JEF United Chiba	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWTWW
- Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League
29.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Gainare Tottori	1:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
23.05.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus	4:2
18.03.26	Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:1
Japan Emperors Cup
27.08.25	Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:4
Japan J1 League
28.06.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus	1:2
20.04.25	Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:1
Japan J League Cup
08.09.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus	1:3 penalties
04.09.24	Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1

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