The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Omiya Ardija 38.1%
Draw 28.5%
Tokushima Vortis 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
28.5%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
27.6%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
Omiya Ardija - Tokushima Vortis Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Omiya will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tokushima will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kato Y. (G) 37. Sekiguchi K. 34. Murakami Y. 13. Iyoha O. 20. Shimoguchi W. 7. Kojima M. 30. Arthur Feitoza 18. Tsukui T. 10. Toyokawa Y. 29. Caprini 90. Sunday O.
1. Tanaka H. (G) 33. Inoue S. 3. Yamada N. 5. Aoki H. 18. Elsinho 28. Kanuma N. 7. Kodama S. 42. Takagi Y. 16. Watari D. 99. Lucas Barcelos 9. Thonny Anderson
Substitutes
42. Fujii K. 44. Fukui K. 9. Gonzalez F. 14. Izumi T. 15. Nakayama K. 46. Nuki M. 23. Sugimoto K. 45. Tsuboi Y. (G) 41. Yachida T.
14. Hyon R. 8. Iwao K. 27. Izuchukwu L. 29. Mitsui D. (G) 19. Miyazaki J. 97. Moyo M. 13. Nishino T. 15. Yamakoshi K. 22. Yanagisawa K.
Coaches
Miyazawa Y.
Masuda K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', Kanuma N. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Sunday O. ⚽, Kojima M. (A),
23', Arthur Feitoza 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Watari D. ⚽, Takagi Y. (A),
34', 1 - 2, Lucas Barcelos ⚽, Thonny Anderson (A),
40', Murakami Y. 🟨,
45', Lucas Barcelos 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Watari D. ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,
61', Sunday O. ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
61', Toyokawa Y. ↓, Yachida T. ↑,
61', Tsukui T. ↓, Izumi T. ↑,
65', Elsinho 🟨,
69', Elsinho ↓, Yanagisawa K. ↑,
78', Kanuma N. ↓, Iwao K. ↑,
78', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Moyo M. ↑,
78', Takagi Y. ↓, Miyazaki J. ↑,
82', Arthur Feitoza ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
88', Kodama S. ↓, Yamakoshi K. ↑,
90+3', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
90+7', Thonny Anderson 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 1.
Omiya has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tokushima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Omiya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.9:2.3).