Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 37

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Toyota City)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball, QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Nagoya Grampus		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	5	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.8
	1.66	3.7	4.69	Watch
	1.71	3.88	5.11
	1.71	3.79	4.98	Watch
	1.6	3.6	5
	1.71	3.83	4.94	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)	3.76 ↑ (3.76)	4.91 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagoya Grampus
55.9%

Draw
25%

Sagan Tosu
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Nagoya Grampus - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Users Predictions: Nagoya Grampus will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Langerak M. (G) 34. Uchida T. 20. Mikuni K. 24. Kawazura A. 7. Izumi R. 15. Inagaki S. 8. Shiihashi K. 55. Tokumoto S. 11. Yamagishi Y. 14. Morishima T. 18. Nagai K.	71. Park Il-gyu (G) 4. Imazu Y. 3. Kimura S. 16. Ueebisu K. 8. Nakahara H. 6. Fukuta A. 28. Maruhashi Y. 25. Watanabe R. 37. Terayama T. 22. Togashi C. 77. Slivka V.
Substitutes
77. Junker K. 33. Kikuchi T. 27. Nakayama K. 10. Patric 16. Takeda Y. (G) 66. Yamanaka R. 5. Yoshida H.	11. Araujo V. 14. Fujita N. 70. Jaja 36. Kitajima F. 31. Okamoto M. (G) 32. Sakaiya K. 2. Yamazaki K.
Coaches
Hasegawa K.	Kitani K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Slivka V. ⚽, Fukuta A. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Nakahara H. ⚽,
26', Maruhashi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Uchida T. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
46', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Patric ↑,
61', Maruhashi Y. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
62', Tokumoto S. ↓, Yamanaka R. ↑,
67', 0 - 3, Nakahara H. ⚽,
69', Terayama T. ↓, Sakaiya K. ↑,
69', Nagai K. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
84', Izumi R. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
84', Nakahara H. ↓, Jaja ↑,
84', Ueebisu K. ↓, Yamazaki K. ↑,
84', Fukuta A. ↓, Fujita N. ↑,
84', Shiihashi K. ↓, Yoshida H. ↑,
88', Togashi C. ↓, Araujo V. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Tosu is Relegated to J2 League

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 1.

Nagoya is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nagoya is a favorite.

There will not play in Nagoya: Ono M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tosu: Honda F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Nagoya: Carabali J. (Muscle Injury) Junker K. (Calf Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19:18 (average 1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Nagoya won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League
09.11.24	Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.11.24	Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata	4:3 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
23.10.24	Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	3:2 ✺
19.10.24	Nagoya Grampus - Consadole Sapporo	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.10.24	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLLL
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J1 League
09.11.24	Sagan Tosu - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Sagan Tosu - Machida Zelvia	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Kyoto Sanga - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Tokyo - Sagan Tosu	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Sagan Tosu - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
18.05.24	Sagan Tosu - Nagoya Grampus	0:2
27.10.23	Nagoya Grampus - Sagan Tosu	1:1
04.03.23	Sagan Tosu - Nagoya Grampus	1:0
14.08.22	Sagan Tosu - Nagoya Grampus	0:0
06.03.22	Nagoya Grampus - Sagan Tosu	1:1
17.07.21	Sagan Tosu - Nagoya Grampus	3:1
18.04.21	Nagoya Grampus - Sagan Tosu	1:2

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