The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nagoya Grampus 44.7%
Draw 25.9%
Yokohama F. Marinos 29.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.6%
26.5%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
26.4%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nagoya Grampus's performance.
Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yokohama F. Marinos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nagoya Grampus that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yokohama F. Marinos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schmidt D. (G) 70. Hara T. 31. Takamine T. 55. Tokumoto S. 17. Uchida T. 15. Inagaki S. (C) 14. Morishima T. 27. Nakayama K. 7. Izumi R. 22. Kimura Y. 11. Yamagishi Y.
21. Iikura H. (G) 34. Kimura T. 17. Quinones J. 33. Suwama K. 25. Suzuki T. 28. Yamane R. 41. Matsumura K. 23. Miyaichi R. (C) 43. Nitta R. 11. Croux J. 9. Tanimura K.
Substitutes
33. Kikuchi T. 19. Koda H. 58. Koyamatsu T. 2. Nogami Y. 41. Ono M. 35. Pisano A. (G) 68. Sameshima A. 3. Sato Y. 30. Sugiura S.
44. Deng T. 54. Fujii S. 13. Inoue T. 8. Kida T. 24. Kondo T. 47. Miidera S. 1. Park Il-gyu (G) 32. Tanaka Y. 19. Tevis
Coaches
Petrovic M.
Corica S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Croux J. ⚽, Miyaichi R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tokumoto S. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
46', Morishima T. ↓, Sato Y. ↑,
53', Uchida T. 🟨,
55', Kimura T. 🟨,
59', Croux J. ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
68', Nitta R. ↓, Tevis ↑,
68', Kimura T. ↓, Inoue T. ↑,
68', Miyaichi R. ↓, Miidera S. ↑,
71', Uchida T. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
72', Izumi R. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Yamagishi Y. ⚽, Takamine T. (A),
78', Suzuki T. ↓, Deng T. ↑,
85', Nakayama K. ↓, Koyamatsu T. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3.
Nagoya has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Yokohama FM is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Nagoya may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Nagoya: Asano Y.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Marcus Vinicius
(Broken Leg).
Confirmed absences for Yokohama FM: Miidera S.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nagoya has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:31 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nagoya against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 16:18 goals (averaging 1.6:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Yokohama F. Marinos
10
4
4
2
13:9
4
16
12
Nagoya Grampus
10
4
0
6
12:16
-4
12
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Yokohama F. Marinos: 2.29% Nagoya Grampus: 0.78%
Last Results with these Odds
Nagoya Grampus - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.59%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Schmidt D. (G) 
Quinones J. 
Croux J. 
Deng T. 
Tevis 
Petrovic M. 
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