Match Info

J1 League - Round 8

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Toyota City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball, QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Nagoya Grampus		Yokohama F. Marinos

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.8
	2.32	3.21	2.97	Watch
	2.3	3.38	3.13	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.8
	2.39	3.33	3.01	Watch
	2.34	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.54)	3.27 ↓ (3.38)	2.97 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagoya Grampus
39.8%

Draw
28.6%

Yokohama F. Marinos
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

27.8%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmidt D. (G) 2. Nogami Y. 3. Sato Y. 6. Kawazura A. 17. Uchida T. 15. Inagaki S. 8. Shiihashi K. 7. Izumi R. 27. Nakayama K. 18. Nagai K. 10. Mateus	19. Park Il-gyu (G) 23. Miyaichi R. 13. Quinones J. 15. Walsh S. 2. Nagato K. 11. Yan 6. Watanabe K. 28. Yamane R. 9. Tono D. 14. Uenaka A. 10. Anderson Lopes
Substitutes
9. Asano Y. 26. Kato G. 33. Kikuchi T. 20. Mikuni K. 4. Miya D. 14. Morishima T. 41. Ono M. 35. Pisano A. (G) 30. Sugiura S.	20. Amano J. 7. Elber 21. Iikura H. (G) 17. Inoue K. 16. Kato R. 8. Kida T. 41. Matsumura K. 33. Suwama K. 25. Suzuki T.
Coaches
Hasegawa K.	Holland S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Kawazura A. ⚽, Nagai K. (A),
65', Nakayama K. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
75', Mateus ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
75', Nagai K. ↓, Morishima T. ↑,
76', Watanabe K. ↓, Kida T. ↑,
76', Uenaka A. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
76', Tono D. ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
83', Nagato K. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Sato Y. ⚽, Morishima T. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 3.

Recent matches Nagoya is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yokohama FM is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Yokohama FM could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K. (Calf Injury) Tokumoto S. (Muscle Injury) Yamagishi Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Muscle Injury) Popp W. (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:33 (average 1.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Nagoya won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:21 (average 1.4:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Yokohama F. Marinos - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.3%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League
29.03.25	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama FC	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nagoya Grampus	0:3 ET ✺
Japan J1 League
15.03.25	Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Cerezo Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Nagoya Grampus - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLTL
- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
29.03.25	Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.03.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shanghai Port	4:1 ✺
04.03.25	Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
28.02.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
08.12.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus	0:2
Japan J League Cup
13.10.24	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2
09.10.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus	1:3
Japan J1 League
30.03.24	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1
08.07.23	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:2
29.04.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus	1:1
01.10.22	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:4

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