The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nancy 45%
Draw 26.8%
Guingamp 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
26.6%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
25.5%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
10%
0%
Nancy - Guingamp Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 71.4% โ 100%.
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, Guingamp has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Nancy is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Nancy: Balde T.
(Injury)
Barbier H.
(Injury)
Bouaoune I.
(Ankle Injury)
Coulibaly J.
(Inactive)
Delaveau Y.
(Inactive)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Obougou N.
(Inactive)
Tavares H.
(Inactive)
Ztouti Z.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Guingamp: Gomis D.
(Red Card)
N'Landu D.
(Knee Injury)
Ott G.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Nancy has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:18 (averaging 0.8:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nancy against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 5:11 goals (averaging 0.8:1.8 per game).
Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now
Guingamp: 2.2% Nancy: 1.49%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Nancy
7
3
1
3
8:7
1
10
11
Guingamp
7
2
2
3
10:12
-2
8
Last Results with these Odds
Guingamp - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.45%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.