Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 17

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel Picot (Nancy)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Nancy		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	4.6
	1.64	3.25	4.3
	1.66	3.58	4.83	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.6
	1.68	3.6	4.8	Watch
	1.64	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.59)	3.43 ↓ (3.57)	4.57 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nancy
54.2%

Draw
26.2%

Valenciennes
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

25.1%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

25.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Nancy - Valenciennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Valenciennes will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sourzac M. (G) 12. Julloux A. 14. Saint-Ruf N. 25. Thiare A. 19. Experience M. 8. Bouabdelli W. 17. Carlier M. 6. Bouriaud T. 11. Sidibe O. 20. Bokangu B. 7. Gomel B.	30. Michel M. (G) 19. Buades L. 18. Toure O. 12. Dibassy B. (C) 3. Basse S. 14. Sissoko S. 6. Masson J. 8. Traore D. 20. Camblan A. 27. Oyewusi M. 21. Diomande A.
Substitutes
13. Camara B. 10. Dabasse A. 22. Evans J. 15. Fdaouch Z. 9. Toure C.	7. Antoine C. 22. Boissier R. 17. Boutoutaou A. 5. Poha J. 15. Woudenberg L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Gomel B. ⚽, Bokangu B. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Oyewusi M. (Pen),
23', Bouriaud T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Traore D. 🟨,
51', 1 - 2, Basse S. ⚽, Camblan A. (A),
62', Sidibe O. ↓, Fdaouch Z. ↑,
62', Saint-Ruf N. ↓, Dabasse A. ↑,
63', Diomande A. 🟨,
70', Toure O. 🟨,
77', Bokangu B. ↓, Toure C. ↑,
77', Gomel B. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
84', Camblan A. ↓, Boutoutaou A. ↑,
84', Oyewusi M. ↓, Antoine C. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nancy won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Nancy have a series of guest games.

In this match Nancy is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Nancy won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:20 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Nancy won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 3
14.01.25	Aubagne - Nancy	2:1 ✺
10.01.25	Nîmes - Nancy	1:2 ✺
13.12.24	Nancy - Orleans	1:0 ✺
06.12.24	Aubagne - Nancy	4:0 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.24	Bastia - Nancy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL
- Valenciennes FC
Coupe De France
14.01.25	Le Mans - Valenciennes	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 3
10.01.25	Valenciennes - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
22.12.24	Thionville Lusitanos - Valenciennes	2:3 penalties ✺
French Ligue 3
13.12.24	Le Mans - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
30.11.24	Valenciennes - Neuilly-sur-Marne	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
01.02.22	Valenciennes - Nancy	6:1
14.08.21	Nancy - Valenciennes	0:1
01.05.21	Nancy - Valenciennes	1:3
05.01.21	Valenciennes - Nancy	2:3
10.01.20	Nancy - Valenciennes	1:0
02.08.19	Valenciennes - Nancy	1:1
29.03.19	Nancy - Valenciennes	0:2

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