Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 2

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 5
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Nice		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	4	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.6
	1.85	3.7	4.1
	1.88	3.78	4.32
	1.32	5.30	8.53	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.4
	1.88	3.89	4.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.64)	4.02 ↑ (4)	4.91 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
55.9%

Draw
24.3%

Auxerre
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

23.4%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

24.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.3%	33.3%	7.4%

Nice - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Auxerre will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Auxerre (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Auxerre (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 28. Bah J. 37. Peprah K. 6. Boudaoui H. 99. Abdul Samed S. 20. Louchet T. 26. Bard M. (C) 7. Boga J. 21. Jansson I. 90. Kevin	16. Leon D. (G) 29. Senaya M. 3. Osho G. 4. Sierralta F. 92. Akpa C. 14. Mensah G. 7. Casimir J. 42. Owusu E. (C) 5. Danois K. 23. Osman I. 10. Sinayoko L.
Substitutes
19. Bouanani B. 14. Brahimi B. 39. Coulibaly D. 10. Diop S. 31. Dupe M. (G) 36. Koutoune H. 9. Moffi T. 49. Nguene B. 8. Rosario P.	6. Agouzoul S. 9. Bair T. 21. Coulibaly L. 19. Danny Namaso 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 34. Matondo R. 22. Oppegard F. 27. Sy L.
Coaches
Haise F.	Pelissier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Boga J. ⚽, Louchet T. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Sinayoko L. ⚽, Osman I. (A),
24', 2 - 1, Akpa C. (Own goal),
34', Jansson I. 🟨,
41', Sierralta F. 🟨,
45+1', Leon D. 🟥,
45+5', Osho G. ↓, De Percin T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Senaya M. 🟨,
60', Peprah K. 🟨,
62', Osman I. ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
63', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Rosario P. ↑,
63', Jansson I. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
73', Kevin ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
73', Boga J. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
73', Mensah G. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
73', Sinayoko L. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
73', Senaya M. ↓, Sy L. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Moffi T. ⚽, Louchet T. (A),
90+1', Louchet T. ↓, Koutoune H. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 1.

Recent form of Nice has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Auxerre has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Nice is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Abdi A. (Hernia) Bombito M. (Injury) Cho M. (Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury) Sanson M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Diomande S. (Thigh Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Injury) Siwe T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Nice: Clauss J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Auxerre: Casimir J. (Inactive) Osho G. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nice won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
16.08.25	Nice - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Benfica - Nice	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Nice - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Nice - Sheffield United	3:2 ✺
26.07.25	St. Pauli - Nice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
17.08.25	Auxerre - Lorient	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Auxerre - Levante	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Auxerre - Ipswich Town	0:3 ✺
30.07.25	Grenoble - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Clermont - Auxerre	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.03.25	Nice - Auxerre	1:1
18.08.24	Auxerre - Nice	2:1
Coupe De France
06.01.24	Nice - Auxerre	1:0 penalties
French Ligue 1
03.03.23	Nice - Auxerre	1:1
16.10.22	Auxerre - Nice	1:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
31.10.18	Nice - Auxerre	3:2
French Ligue 1
21.04.12	Nice - Auxerre	1:0

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