Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 2

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	14:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 5
Austria	19:00	DAZN
Belarus	20:00	Okko Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	20:00	Nova Sport
Canada	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	13:00	Disney+
Colombia	12:00	Disney+
Croatia	19:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	20:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	19:00	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	19:00	Viaplay
Finland	20:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	19:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	19:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	20:00	5 SPORT Israel
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	19:00	ART Sport 4
Mexico	11:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
Netherlands	19:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	19:00	Viaplay
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Portugal	18:00	Sport TV3
Serbia	19:00	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	19:00	Voyo
South Korea	02:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	19:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	19:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	18:00	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+
Vietnam	00:00	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Nice		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	4	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.6
	1.85	3.7	4.1
	1.88	3.78	4.32
	1.32	5.30	8.53	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.4
	1.88	3.89	4.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.64)	4.02 ↑ (4)	4.91 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
55.9%

Draw
24.3%

Auxerre
19.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.3%

23.4%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

24.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.3%	33.3%	7.4%

Nice - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Auxerre will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Auxerre (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Auxerre (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 28. Bah J. 37. Peprah K. 6. Boudaoui H. 99. Abdul Samed S. 20. Louchet T. 26. Bard M. (C) 7. Boga J. 21. Jansson I. 90. Kevin	16. Leon D. (G) 29. Senaya M. 3. Osho G. 4. Sierralta F. 92. Akpa C. 14. Mensah G. 7. Casimir J. 42. Owusu E. (C) 5. Danois K. 23. Osman I. 10. Sinayoko L.
Substitutes
19. Bouanani B. 14. Brahimi B. 39. Coulibaly D. 10. Diop S. 31. Dupe M. (G) 36. Koutoune H. 9. Moffi T. 49. Nguene B. 8. Rosario P.	6. Agouzoul S. 9. Bair T. 21. Coulibaly L. 19. Danny Namaso 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 34. Matondo R. 22. Oppegard F. 27. Sy L.
Coaches
Haise F.	Pelissier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Boga J. ⚽, Louchet T. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Sinayoko L. ⚽, Osman I. (A),
24', 2 - 1, Akpa C. (Own goal),
34', Jansson I. 🟨,
41', Sierralta F. 🟨,
45+1', Leon D. 🟥,
45+5', Osho G. ↓, De Percin T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Senaya M. 🟨,
60', Peprah K. 🟨,
62', Osman I. ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
63', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Rosario P. ↑,
63', Jansson I. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
73', Kevin ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
73', Boga J. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
73', Mensah G. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
73', Sinayoko L. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
73', Senaya M. ↓, Sy L. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Moffi T. ⚽, Louchet T. (A),
90+1', Louchet T. ↓, Koutoune H. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 1.

Recent form of Nice has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Auxerre has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Nice is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Abdi A. (Hernia) Bombito M. (Injury) Cho M. (Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury) Sanson M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Diomande S. (Thigh Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Injury) Siwe T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Nice: Clauss J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Auxerre: Casimir J. (Inactive) Osho G. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nice won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
16.08.25	Nice - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Benfica - Nice	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Nice - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Nice - Sheffield United	3:2 ✺
26.07.25	St. Pauli - Nice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
17.08.25	Auxerre - Lorient	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Auxerre - Levante	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Auxerre - Ipswich Town	0:3 ✺
30.07.25	Grenoble - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Clermont - Auxerre	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.03.25	Nice - Auxerre	1:1
18.08.24	Auxerre - Nice	2:1
Coupe De France
06.01.24	Nice - Auxerre	1:0 penalties
French Ligue 1
03.03.23	Nice - Auxerre	1:1
16.10.22	Auxerre - Nice	1:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
31.10.18	Nice - Auxerre	3:2
French Ligue 1
21.04.12	Nice - Auxerre	1:0

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