Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Mexico	Caliente TV
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Nantes		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	11	6.25	1.25	Watch
	9	5.75	1.3
	10.5	6.4	1.25
	11.59	6.65	1.26
	12.76	6.78	1.19	Watch
	9	5.5	1.29
	11.3	6.39	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.74 ↑ (7.93)	6.25 ↑ (5.63)	1.26 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
8.9%

Draw
15.3%

Paris Saint-Germain
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

16.9%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7%	8.8%	84.2%

Nantes - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - PSG (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Nantes (2.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Nantes (3.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - PSG (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (47 of 56 users predict this - 83.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.31% – 93.55%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 4 - 11.1%). PSG (votes: 29 - 80.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopes A. (G) 98. Amian K. (C) 6. Awaziem C. 78. Tati T. 3. Cozza N. 90. Benhattab Y. 5. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 8. Lepenant J. 66. Leroux L. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 11. Guirassy B.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 33. Zaire-Emery W. 6. Zabarnyi I. 4. Beraldo L. 21. Hernandez L. 19. Lee Kang-In 17. Vitinha (C) 8. Ruiz F. 49. Mbaye I. 9. Ramos G. 29. Barcola B.
Substitutes
39. Abline M. 17. Assoumani D. 36. Camara A. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 13. Coquelin F. 72. Doucoure S. 93. Duverne J. 9. El Arabi Y. 14. Hong Hyun-Seok	10. Dembele O. 14. Doue D. 2. Hakimi A. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 89. Marin R. (G) 5. Marquinhos 25. Mendes N. 51. Pacho W. 39. Safonov M. (G)
Coaches
Castro L.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Amian K. 🟨,
45+2', Castro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Guirassy B. ↓, Abline M. ↑,
59', Benhattab Y. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
61', Hernandez L. ↓, Mendes N. ↑,
61', Ruiz F. ↓, Hakimi A. ↑,
61', Mbaye I. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
61', Lee Kang-In ↓, Doue D. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Vitinha ⚽, Mendes N. (A),
78', Ramos G. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
79', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
79', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, Camara A. ↑,
79', Hakimi A. 🟨,
86', Leroux L. ↓, Assoumani D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 0.

Nantes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

PSG is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Nantes: Acapandie M. (Injury) Lahdo M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in PSG: Donnarumma G. (Coach's decision) Mukiele N. (Muscle Injury) Neves J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in PSG: Barcola B. (Injury) Mayulu S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:44. (average 0.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Nantes - Paris FC	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Angers - Nantes	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Nantes - Rennes	1:3 ✺
19.07.25	Nantes - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Nantes - Laval	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Super Cup
13.08.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2 penalties ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
13.07.25	Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain	3:0 ✺
09.07.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid	4:0 ✺
05.07.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Miami	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
22.04.25	Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1
30.11.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	1:1
17.02.24	Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2
09.12.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	2:1
04.03.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	4:2
03.09.22	Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3
French Super Cup
31.07.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	4:0

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