Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 3
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	22:45	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Austria	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	22:45	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	02:45	ZhiBo8
Colombia	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	20:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	21:45	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	20:45	DAZN France, Ligue 1+
Georgia	22:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iran	22:15	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	21:45	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	20:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Mexico	12:45	Caliente TV
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	Viaplay
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV3
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	20:45	Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	23:45	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	21:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkmenistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, Inter


	Nantes		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	11	6.25	1.25	Watch
	9	5.75	1.3
	10.5	6.4	1.25
	11.59	6.65	1.26
	12.76	6.78	1.19	Watch
	9	5.5	1.29
	11.3	6.39	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.74 ↑ (7.93)	6.25 ↑ (5.63)	1.26 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
8.9%

Draw
15.3%

Paris Saint-Germain
75.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12%

16.9%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7%	8.8%	84.2%

Nantes - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - PSG (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Nantes (2.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Nantes (3.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - PSG (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (47 of 56 users predict this - 83.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.31% – 93.55%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 4 - 11.1%). PSG (votes: 29 - 80.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopes A. (G) 98. Amian K. (C) 6. Awaziem C. 78. Tati T. 3. Cozza N. 90. Benhattab Y. 5. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 8. Lepenant J. 66. Leroux L. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 11. Guirassy B.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 33. Zaire-Emery W. 6. Zabarnyi I. 4. Beraldo L. 21. Hernandez L. 19. Lee Kang-In 17. Vitinha (C) 8. Ruiz F. 49. Mbaye I. 9. Ramos G. 29. Barcola B.
Substitutes
39. Abline M. 17. Assoumani D. 36. Camara A. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 13. Coquelin F. 72. Doucoure S. 93. Duverne J. 9. El Arabi Y. 14. Hong Hyun-Seok	10. Dembele O. 14. Doue D. 2. Hakimi A. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 89. Marin R. (G) 5. Marquinhos 25. Mendes N. 51. Pacho W. 39. Safonov M. (G)
Coaches
Castro L.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Amian K. 🟨,
45+2', Castro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Guirassy B. ↓, Abline M. ↑,
59', Benhattab Y. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
61', Hernandez L. ↓, Mendes N. ↑,
61', Ruiz F. ↓, Hakimi A. ↑,
61', Mbaye I. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
61', Lee Kang-In ↓, Doue D. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Vitinha ⚽, Mendes N. (A),
78', Ramos G. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
79', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
79', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, Camara A. ↑,
79', Hakimi A. 🟨,
86', Leroux L. ↓, Assoumani D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 0.

Nantes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

PSG is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Nantes: Acapandie M. (Injury) Lahdo M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in PSG: Donnarumma G. (Coach's decision) Mukiele N. (Muscle Injury) Neves J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in PSG: Barcola B. (Injury) Mayulu S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:44. (average 0.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Nantes - Paris FC	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Angers - Nantes	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Nantes - Rennes	1:3 ✺
19.07.25	Nantes - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Nantes - Laval	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Super Cup
13.08.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2 penalties ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
13.07.25	Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain	3:0 ✺
09.07.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid	4:0 ✺
05.07.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Miami	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
22.04.25	Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1
30.11.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	1:1
17.02.24	Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2
09.12.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	2:1
04.03.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	4:2
03.09.22	Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3
French Super Cup
31.07.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	4:0

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