Match Info

Date: 18 July 2022, Monday


	Nantong Zhiyun		Jiangxi Lushan

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.8	7.5
	1.29	4.8	7.8
	1.31	5.45	8.43
	1.29	4.6	8.5
	1.32	5.15	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.36)	4.96 ↑ (4.1)	8.15 ↑ (7.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Zhiyun
70.3%

Draw
18.5%

Jiangxi Lushan
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

21.9%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

20.9%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Nantong Zhiyun - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions

Users Predictions: Nantong Zhiyun will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantong Zhiyun won 4.

Nantong Zhiyun is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Jiangxi Beidamen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jiangxi Beidamen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nantong Zhiyun is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nantong Zhiyun to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nantong Zhiyun won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Nantong Zhiyun won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Jia League
08.07.22	Zibo Cuju - Nantong Zhiyun	0:4 ✺
03.07.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Nantong Zhiyun	2:2 ✺
29.06.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Qingdao West Coast	0:0 ✺
26.06.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Nantong Zhiyun	0:3 ✺
21.06.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Zibo Cuju	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTWW
- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
08.07.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Nanjing City	1:2 ✺
04.07.22	Qingdao Manatee - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
01.07.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Beijing Institute of Technology	3:1 ✺
27.06.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
21.06.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Qingdao Manatee	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
04.06.21	Nantong Zhiyun - Jiangxi Lushan	3:2
08.11.20	Nantong Zhiyun - Jiangxi Lushan	3:3
Chinese Yi League
12.08.18	Nantong Zhiyun - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0
05.05.18	Jiangxi Lushan - Nantong Zhiyun	1:3
22.07.17	Jiangxi Lushan - Nantong Zhiyun	1:2
07.05.17	Nantong Zhiyun - Jiangxi Lushan	0:1

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