Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 17

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Wuhan Sports Centre (Wuhan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports


	Wuhan Three Towns		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.55	3.9	5
	1.57	4	5.5	Watch
	1.61	4.2	5.34
	1.58	4.04	5.47
	1.53	4	5
	1.6	4.14	5.51	Watch
	1.56	4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.71)	4.06 ↓ (4.15)	5.32 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuhan Three Towns
59.5%

Draw
23%

Nantong Zhiyun
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

22.6%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

22%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan Three Towns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nantong Zhiyun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Wuhan Three Towns - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wuhan Three Towns: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Liu Dianzuo (G) 25. Hanwen D. 23. Hang Ren (C) 5. Park Ji-Su 4. Jiang Zhipeng 7. Tao Qianglong 21. He Chao 12. Zhang Xiaobin 37. Darlan 11. Balde R. 9. Pedro H.	23. Xue Qinghao (G) 18. Jiang Zilei 15. Liu Wei 20. Anthony I. 34. Luo Xin (C) 25. Cao Kang 16. Puclin D. 30. Rosa F. 38. Lu Yongtao 10. Kallon I. 29. Zheng Haoqian
Substitutes
20. Asqer A. 38. Chen X. (G) 6. Haliq Ablahan 18. Liu Yiming 19. Liu Yue 10. Luo Senwen 42. Min Zixi 15. Tayir Shewketjan 28. Wang Denny 40. Yusup Umidjan 16. Zhang Hui 43. Zhang Tao	37. Jia B. 17. Ji Shengpan 24. Liang Shaowen 31. Liao Lei 1. Li Huayang (G) 36. Qiu Zhongyi 13. Song Haoyu 3. Wang Jie 2. Wei Lai 33. Xu Junmin 26. Ye Daochi 11. Zimin Nuali
Coaches
Rodriguez R.	Patricio D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Tao Qianglong 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Anthony I. ⚽, Puclin D. (A),
26', He Chao ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
28', Kallon I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hanwen D. ↓, Zhang Tao ↑,
53', Zhang Tao 🟨,
55', Luo Xin 🟨,
56', Rosa F. ↓, Xu Junmin ↑,
71', Jiang Zilei ↓, Song Haoyu ↑,
71', Zheng Haoqian ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
75', Lu Yongtao 🟨,
87', 0 - 2, Kallon I. ⚽, Song Haoyu (A),
88', Lu Yongtao ↓, Ye Daochi ↑,
88', Kallon I. ↓, Liang Shaowen ↑,
90+6', Balde R. ↓, Liu Yue ↑,
90+7', Asqer A. ↓, Min Zixi ↑,
90+9', 1 - 2, Pedro H. ⚽, Liu Yue (A),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wuhan Three Towns won 4.

Wuhan Three Towns is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nantong Zhiyun is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nantong Zhiyun could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wuhan Three Towns is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Wuhan Three Towns won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Wuhan Three Towns won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese Super League
25.06.24	Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Port	0:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Wuhan Three Towns	4:3 ✺
Chinese Super League
16.06.24	Qingdao West Coast - Wuhan Three Towns	0:1 ✺
25.05.24	Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka	0:1 ✺
21.05.24	Zhejiang Professional - Wuhan Three Towns	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
25.06.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Nantong Zhiyun	1:3 ✺
Chinese Super League
14.06.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Beijing Guoan - Nantong Zhiyun	5:2 ✺
21.05.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
09.03.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Wuhan Three Towns	1:3
27.08.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Nantong Zhiyun	4:2
Chinese FA Cup
26.07.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Wuhan Three Towns	2:0
Chinese Super League
23.05.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Wuhan Three Towns	0:5
Chinese Jia League
01.10.21	Wuhan Three Towns - Nantong Zhiyun	2:0
13.09.21	Nantong Zhiyun - Wuhan Three Towns	1:2

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