Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 7

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Rugao Olympic Sports Center (Rugao)


	Nantong Zhiyun		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
	8	4.5	1.4	Watch
	8.25	4	1.39
	8.5	4.33	1.38	Watch
	8.6	4.3	1.44
	8.55	4.25	1.42
	8.5	4.5	1.3
	7.94	4.47	1.39	Watch
	8	4.2	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.29 ↑ (7.04)	4.32 ↓ (4.54)	1.39 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Zhiyun
11.2%

Draw
21.6%

Shanghai Shenhua
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

20.3%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

19.6%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Shanghai Shenhua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Nantong Zhiyun - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Users Predictions: Shanghai Shenhua will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Chen Zhao (G) 16. Puclin D. 34. Luo Xin 29. Zheng Haoqian 25. Cao Kang 13. Song Haoyu 6. Yang Ming-Yang 20. Anthony I. 17. Ji Shengpan 9. Godinez J. 5. Ma Sheng	30. Bao Yaxiong (G) 13. Manafa W. 4. Jiang Shenglong 5. Zhu Chenjie 16. Yang Zexiang 17. Gao T. 6. Amadou I. 15. Wu Xi 10. Teixeira J. 9. Andre Luis 11. Malele C.
Substitutes
18. Jiang Zilei 31. Liao Lei 1. Li Huayang (G) 15. Liu Wei 38. Lu Yongtao 7. Nzuzi Mata K. 36. Qiu Zhongyi 4. Shinar Y. 3. Wang Jie 2. Wei Lai 26. Ye Daochi 11. Zimin Nuali	28. Cao Yunding 8. Dai Wai-Tsun 36. Fei Ernanduo 32. Fulangxisi Aidi 22. Jin Yangyang 39. Liu Yujie 1. Ma Zhen (G) 33. Wang Haijian 14. Xie Pengfei 7. Xu Haoyang 20. Yu Hanchao 29. Zhou Junchen
Coaches
Jurasovic M.	Slutski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Malele C. ⚽, Andre Luis (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Jiang Shenglong 🟨,
59', Ji Shengpan ↓, Jiang Zilei ↑,
70', Cao Kang ↓, Lu Yongtao ↑,
70', Zheng Haoqian ↓, Nzuzi Mata K. ↑,
71', Luo Xin ↓, Wei Lai ↑,
71', Gao T. ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
72', Malele C. ↓, Xie Pengfei ↑,
81', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Ye Daochi ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Teixeira J. ⚽, Xu Haoyang (A),
85', Teixeira J. ↓, Dai Wai-Tsun ↑,
86', Manafa W. ↓, Fulangxisi Aidi ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League).

Nantong Zhiyun is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shanghai Shenhua is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Shanghai Shenhua is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nantong Zhiyun won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Nantong Zhiyun won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
13.04.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
09.04.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Shanghai Port	0:3 ✺
05.04.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Nantong Zhiyun	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Wuhan Three Towns	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWLL
- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
13.04.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan	1:1 ✺
09.04.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Wuhan Three Towns	4:1 ✺
05.04.24	Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua	1:2 ✺
31.03.24	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Shenhua	0:3 ✺
08.03.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Qingdao West Coast	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
21.10.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1
28.06.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Nantong Zhiyun	1:0
Chinese FA Cup
25.04.18	Nantong Zhiyun - Shanghai Shenhua	3:2

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