The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Napoli 30.2%
Draw 27.2%
Milan 42.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.8%
25.7%
51.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
25.2%
52.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli's performance.
Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napoli that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Napoli - Milan Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Milan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Beretta B. (G) 44. Pettenuzzo T. (C) 16. Jusjong M. 2. Brooks C. 67. Giordano M. 20. Troan M. 13. Muth N. 23. Bellucci M. 8. Kozak K. 11. Floe C. 25. Vanmechelen D.
1. Giuliani L. (G) 2. Koivisto E. 25. De Sanders K. 23. Piga J. 8. Arrigoni G. 11. Grimshaw C. (C) 12. Mascarello M. 10. van Dooren K. 7. Kyvag T. 19. Ijeh E. 5. Cernoia V.
Substitutes
42. Bacic D. (G) 17. Carcassi A. 24. D'Angelo A. 22. Doucoure M. 30. Hornschuch S. (G) 90. Langella G. 21. Penzo T. 19. Sciabica M. 4. Sliskovic G. 32. Vergani B. 72. Vischi F.
29. Appiah K. 27. Cesarini E. 39. Donolato V. 13. Estevez S. (G) 21. Keijzer M. 14. Park Soo-Jeong 20. Soffia A. 15. Stokic S. 24. Tornaghi L. (G)
Coaches
Sassarini D.
Bakker S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Piga J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cernoia V. ↓, Park Soo-Jeong ↑,
55', Pettenuzzo T. 🟨,
58', Troan M. ↓, Carcassi A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Grimshaw C. ⚽,
71', Piga J. ↓, Soffia A. ↑,
71', Vanmechelen D. ↓, Sciabica M. ↑,
86', Giordano M. ↓, Vischi F. ↑,
90+2', Kyvag T. ↓, Appiah K. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Appiah K. ⚽, Park Soo-Jeong (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: ) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Milan might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 0.6:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).