Match Info

J2/J3 League - Placement matches - Round 1

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Konoike Athletic Stadium (Nara)


	Nara Club		Oita Trinita

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.87	3	2.25
	3.05	3.05	2.18	Watch
	3.25	3.08	2.24
	3.25	3.22	2.21	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.31	3.13	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.97)	3.1 ↑ (2.92)	2.21 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nara Club
29.1%

Draw
29.5%

Oita Trinita
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

31.8%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

30.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oita Trinita, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Nara Club - Oita Trinita Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nara Club will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Oita Trinita will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Vito M. (G) 2. Takahata K. 33. Sato H. 16. Okuda Y. 8. Yoshida A. 50. Shibamoto R. 10. Morita R. 7. Tamura R. 20. Kunitake Y. 54. Kawasaki S. 17. Tamura S.	1. Tanaka Y. (G) 33. Miyakawa A. 31. Matheus Pereira 6. Misao Y. 18. Nodake J. 7. Yoshida M. 5. Nakagawa H. 72. Yamaguchi T. 14. Utsumoto S. 9. Arima K. 17. Kim Hyun-woo
Substitutes
18. Goto T. 37. Hamana G. 22. Ikoma K. 36. Ishii T. 1. Miyazawa T. (G) 14. Mochizuki S. 27. Nakayama M. 11. Sato R. 21. Tomizu R.	13. Isa K. 37. Kimoto M. 20. Kimoto T. 40. Kono H. (G) 19. Kozakai A. 2. Okamoto T. 88. Patrick Verhon 16. Shige T. 15. Yashiki Y.
Coaches
Oguro M.	Yomoda S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
18', 0 - 1, Arima K. ⚽, Yoshida M. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Kim Hyun-woo ⚽, Utsumoto S. (A),
44', 0 - 3, Yoshida M. ⚽, Utsumoto S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Takahata K. ↓, Ikoma K. ↑,
50', Miyakawa A. ↓, Okamoto T. ↑,
60', 1 - 3, Tamura S. ⚽, Kunitake Y. (A),
68', Yoshida A. ↓, Nakayama M. ↑,
68', Tamura R. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
70', Nakagawa H. ↓, Kimoto M. ↑,
70', Kim Hyun-woo ↓, Patrick Verhon ↑,
82', Kawasaki S. ↓, Goto T. ↑,
82', Tamura S. ↓, Mochizuki S. ↑,
84', Yoshida M. ↓, Shige T. ↑,
84', Arima K. ↓, Isa K. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Mochizuki S. ⚽,
89', 3 - 3, Morita R. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Utsumoto S. ↓, Yashiki Y. ↑,
94', Nakayama M. ↓, Ishii T. ↑,
100', 4 - 3, Mochizuki S. ⚽, Shibamoto R. (A),
114', Shibamoto R. 🟨,
116', Okamoto T. 🟨,

Preview

Nara Club has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oita Trinita is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Oita Trinita is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nara Club
Japan J2 J3 League
23.05.26	Nara Club - Kataller Toyama	5:1 ✺
16.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Tokushima Vortis - Nara Club	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Nara Club - Osaka	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Imabari - Nara Club	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.1 WLWLW
- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 J3 League
24.05.26	Gainare Tottori - Oita Trinita	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Oita Trinita - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Oita Trinita - Sagan Tosu	0:1 ✺
06.05.26	Kagoshima United - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Oita Trinita	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLWL

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