Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 16

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Pocarisweat Stadium (Naruto)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Tokushima Vortis		Nara Club

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	4.25	6.3	Watch
	1.49	4.25	6.04
	1.5	4.25	5.96	Watch
	1.36	4.2	6.5
	1.42	4.05	6.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.52)	4.2 ↑ (4.18)	6.31 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
63.7%

Draw
21.8%

Nara Club
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

22.3%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

22.6%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Tokushima Vortis - Nara Club Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tokushima will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Hasegawa T. (G) 22. Yanagisawa K. 3. Yamada N. 20. Matsuda K. 6. Kanuma N. 19. Miyazaki J. 7. Kodama S. 10. Sugimoto T. 42. Takagi Y. 9. Thonny Anderson 14. Kajiya Y.	96. Vito M. (G) 40. Yoshimura Y. 33. Sato H. 16. Okuda Y. 27. Nakayama M. 50. Shibamoto R. 10. Morita R. 7. Tamura R. 20. Kunitake Y. 54. Kawasaki S. 17. Tamura S.
Substitutes
69. Fukuta M. 27. Izuchukwu L. 4. Kaique 97. Moyo M. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 55. Shigehiro T. 24. Takada S. 77. Thales Paula 44. Yamaguchi T.	18. Goto T. 37. Hamana G. 36. Ishii T. 1. Miyazawa T. (G) 14. Mochizuki S. 11. Sato R. 2. Takahata K. 21. Tomizu R. 8. Yoshida A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Nakayama M. ↓, Yoshida A. ↑,
44', 0 - 1, Yanagisawa K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Kanuma N. ⚽,
54', Tamura R. 🟨,
57', Okuda Y. ↓, Ishii T. ↑,
65', Miyazaki J. ↓, Moyo M. ↑,
70', Tamura R. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
70', Shibamoto R. ↓, Tomizu R. ↑,
70', Yoshimura Y. ↓, Takahata K. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Morita R. ⚽,
73', Thonny Anderson ↓, Shigehiro T. ↑,
73', Takagi Y. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
86', Kajiya Y. ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Recent form of Tokushima has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nara Club has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nara Club may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tokushima is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tokushima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 J3 League
06.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Tokushima Vortis - Ehime	0:6 ✺
29.04.26	Osaka - Tokushima Vortis	3:2 penalties ✺
26.04.26	Kochi United - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Tokushima Vortis - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Nara Club
Japan J2 J3 League
06.05.26	Nara Club - Osaka	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Imabari - Nara Club	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Nara Club - Kochi United	1:0 penalties ✺
25.04.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nara Club	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Nara Club - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
07.02.26	Nara Club - Tokushima Vortis	0:6

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