Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 31

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Narva Kalev-Fama staadion (Narva)

Referee: Kaivoja K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV


	Narva Trans		Kuressaare

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.30	3.10
	1.92	3.35	3.45
	1.99	3.49	3.53
	1.99	3.54	3.52	Watch
	1.95	3.35	3.45
	1.97	3.4	3.3	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.16)	3.4 ↑ (3.35)	3.39 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Narva Trans
46.3%

Draw
26.8%

Kuressaare
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

27.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

26.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Narva Trans - Kuressaare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Venteo I. (G) 4. Ivanyushin A. 14. Filatov A. 12. Eriks Santos 3. Berardozzi T. 6. Slein G. (C) 7. Velijev M. 22. Zuravljov E. 8. Agaptsev S. 47. Baljabkin N. 10. Gero A.	31. Nomm K. (C) 68. Vahermagi J. 36. Piil R. 21. Lukka M. 27. Prunn S. 10. Kivi A. 8. Andreas D. 9. Svedovski A. 28. Lukas R. 11. Jurisoo T. 80. Tarkmeel R.
Substitutes
48. Awusi W. 88. Besigirskis A. 24. Betancor Y. 5. Campagna C. 19. Elysee 28. Miranda da Silva K. 66. Petkus E. 39. Poliakov D. 17. Skinjov A. 58. Solodov A. 1. Zahharov M. (G)	14. Kobin J. 3. Leedo K. 25. Lonks J. 58. Medvedev A. 41. Opp M. 22. Ristna S. (G) 17. Roivassepp G. 5. Sinilaid S. 7. Talu R.
Coaches
Campana D.	Post S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Berardozzi T. 🟨,
56', Baljabkin N. ↓, Betancor Y. ↑,
59', Kivi A. ↓, Talu R. ↑,
66', Tarkmeel R. ↓, Roivassepp G. ↑,
67', Prunn S. 🟨,
73', Agaptsev S. ↓, Awusi W. ↑,
73', Velijev M. ↓, Besigirskis A. ↑,
84', Zuravljov E. ↓, Poliakov D. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Svedovski A. ⚽,
90+1', Betancor Y. 🟨,
90+4', Vahermagi J. ↓, Kobin J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 0.

Narva Trans is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Kuressaare have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Kuressaare may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Narva Trans is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Narva Trans has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:32 (averaging 0.8:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Narva Trans against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 9:13 goals (averaging 1:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Kuressaare	31	10	5	16	34:49	-15	35
10	Narva	31	5	5	21	24:68	-44	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga
10.10.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Narva Trans	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Narva Trans - Levadia Tallinn	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Nõmme Kalju - Narva Trans	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TTLTL
- FC Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga
11.10.26	Kuressaare - Flora Tallinn	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Kuressaare - Tammeka	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	Levadia Tallinn - Kuressaare	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
05.09.26	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	3:1
16.06.26	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	0:0
18.04.26	Narva Trans - Kuressaare	1:2
Club Friendly
21.02.26	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	2:2
Estonian Meistriliiga
20.09.25	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	0:0
05.07.25	Narva Trans - Kuressaare	3:2
27.04.25	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	2:1

Upcoming Matches