Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 20

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday


	Narva Trans U21		Pärnu Vaprus U21

	1	X	2
	1.34	5.75	5.25
	1.46	4.80	4.40
	1.35	5.85	5.58
	1.53	5.39	3.91	Watch
	1.28	5.75	5.50
	1.28	5.80	6.78
	1.52	4.78	4.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.7)	5.45 ↑ (4.25)	5.08 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Narva Trans U21
65.3%

Draw
16.7%

Pärnu Vaprus U21
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

21.1%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

20.5%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Narva Trans U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Narva Trans U21's performance.

Pärnu Vaprus U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pärnu Vaprus U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans U21 than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Narva Trans U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus U21 than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Vaprus U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Narva Trans U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Pärnu Vaprus U21 (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Jaakson S. A. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Agaptsev S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Geveller D. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Tarassenkov S. ⚽,
78', 4 - 1, Miranda da Silva K. ⚽,

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Narva U21 is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Narva U21 will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Narva U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Narva U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Narva U21	30	20	3	7	71:36	35	63
7	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	30	14	4	12	95:62	33	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Narva Trans U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
12.07.26	Tammeka U21 - Narva Trans U21	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Narva Trans U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Narva Trans U21	2:3 ✺
18.06.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tartu Kalev	3:2 ✺
31.05.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tabasalu	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW
- Pärnu JK Vaprus U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
12.07.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Pärnu Vaprus U21	4:2 ✺
05.07.26	Tabasalu - Pärnu Vaprus U21	2:8 ✺
22.06.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:4 ✺
19.06.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:2 ✺
15.06.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Levadia U19	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
17.05.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Narva Trans U21	4:0
22.03.26	Narva Trans U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21	5:0

Upcoming Matches