Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 23

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Naval		Mortágua

	1	X	2
	2.08	3	3.3
	1.93	3.12	3.54
	2.00	3.20	3.57	Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.66
	2.23	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.23)	3.08 ↑ (3)	3.4 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naval
44.2%

Draw
29.3%

Mortágua
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.7%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

29.1%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Naval - Mortágua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, ⚽,
68', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Naval could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naval won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mortagua	4	3	1	0	9:4	5	10
6	Naval 1893	4	2	0	2	6:4	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.03.26	Fatima - Naval	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Naval - Samora Correia	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Marinhense - Naval	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Peniche - Naval	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Naval - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLT
- Mortágua FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.03.26	Mortágua - Lajense	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Mortágua - Fatima	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Samora Correia - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Mortágua - Peniche	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Oliveira Hospital - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.11.25	Mortágua - Naval	2:2

Naval - Mortágua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide