The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Necaxa 23.5%
Draw 25.7%
Club América 50.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.1%
25.3%
49.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
23.9%
46.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Necaxa - Club América Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). América will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Jimenez L. (G) 33. Martinez R. 5. Naves 15. Ochoa D. 88. Vargas C. 6. Leyva D. 16. Pedraza P. 13. Gonzalez O. 99. Rodriguez E. 9. Carranza J. (C) 21. Espindola M.
30. Cota R. (G) 34. Espinoza D. 2. Lara E. 32. Vazquez M. 26. Borja C. 10. Zendejas A. 28. Sanchez E. 6. Cerrillo E. 8. Alvarez C. 9. Martin H. (C) 93. Miguel Borja
Substitutes
1. Andrade C. (G) 17. Cortez R. 8. Faravelli L. 2. Martinez E. 20. Mendez F. 7. Rosero K. 10. Ruiz J. 11. Torres Patino J. P. 90. Valencia J. 14. Zaleta M.
5. Alvarez K. 14. Bueno S. 189. Cardenas A. 206. Garcia D. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 217. Icaro 29. Juarez R. 1. Malagon L. (G) 15. Ramos S. 24. Rossano F.
Coaches
Varini M.
Almada G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
33', Sanchez E. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Gonzalez O. ⚽, Carranza J. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Martin H. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Carranza J. (Penalty Awarded),
45+10', 2 - 2, Martin H. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 2 - 3, Miguel Borja ⚽,
62', Martinez R. 🟨,
63', Vargas C. ↓, Zaleta M. ↑,
63', Gonzalez O. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
72', Espindola M. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
72', Martinez R. ↓, Rosero K. ↑,
75', 2 - 4, Martin H. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Alvarez C. ↓, Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↑,
75', Miguel Borja ↓, Cardenas A. ↑,
75', Cerrillo E. ↓, Icaro ↑,
82', Rodriguez E. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
82', Zendejas A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
82', Espinoza D. ↓, Alvarez K. ↑,
87', Ochoa D. 🟨,
90', Ruiz J. 🟨,
90+5', Borja C. 🟨,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 16th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 1.
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
América is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for América: Bueno S.
(Inactive)
Davila V.
(Knee Injury)
Perea O.
(International duty)
Rodriguez B.
(International duty)
Violante I.
(International duty)
Zuniga J.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for América: Alvarez K.
(Knock)
Cervantes A.
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:32 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Necaxa against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with 10:12 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Club America
10
6
3
1
22:11
11
21
17
Necaxa
11
2
3
6
15:23
-8
9
Last Results with these Odds
Necaxa - the odds 3.72 are the expected chance of winning is 25.07%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Club América - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.6%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
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Jimenez L. (G) 
Naves 
Leyva D. 
Carranza J. (C) 
Borja C. 
Alvarez C. 
Bueno S. 
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