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Current Win Probability
Tigres UANL 54.9%
Draw 24.9%
Necaxa 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.4%
24%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.7%
23%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Tigres UANL - Necaxa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Guzman N. (G) 14. Garza J. 28. Joaquim 15. Franco A. 26. Ordonez Delgado F. I. 34. Simeone 23. Romulo 21. Monreal R. 11. Brunetta J. (C) 16. Lainez D. 17. Aguirre R.
12. Jimenez L. (G) 5. Naves 33. Martinez R. 3. Oliveros A. (C) 13. Gonzalez O. 16. Pedraza P. 8. Faravelli L. 14. Zaleta M. 21. Espindola M. 9. Carranza J. 10. Ruiz J.
Substitutes
184. Aceves I. 5. Araujo C. 205. de Maria Campos A. 198. Galvan I. 33. Guerrero R. 19. Lainez M. 200. Ramirez D. 25. Rodriguez F. (G) 30. Sanchez Guevara D. A. 6. Vigon J.
1. Andrade C. (G) 17. Cortez R. 207. Dominguez Omar 6. Leyva D. 20. Mendez F. 4. Pena A. 99. Rodriguez E. 7. Rosero K. 11. Torres Patino J. P. 90. Valencia J.
Coaches
Vucetich M.
Varini M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Ordonez Delgado F. I. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Gonzalez O. ⚽,
19', Monreal R. 🟨,
21', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
24', Carranza J. (Penalty Awarded),
25', Guzman N. 🟨,
35', Ordonez Delgado F. I. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
40', 1 - 1, Aguirre R. ⚽, Brunetta J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Gonzalez O. ↓, Rosero K. ↑,
59', Monreal R. ↓, Sanchez Guevara D. A. ↑,
59', Simeone ↓, Araujo C. ↑,
62', Espindola M. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
65', Pedraza P. 🟨,
78', Martinez R. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
79', Ruiz J. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
79', Faravelli L. ↓, Leyva D. ↑,
90', Lainez D. ↓, Galvan I. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 2.
Tigres is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Necaxa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Tigres may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Tigres is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Tigres: Angulo J.
(Knee Injury)
Flores M.
(Knee Injury)
Gorriaran F.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Tigres: Araujo C.
(Thigh Injury)
Farfan M.
(Muscle Injury)
Herrera O.
(Injury)
Rodriguez O.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Necaxa: Rosero K.
(Contusion)
Tello I.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 10 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:17. (average 1.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 2.2:1.1).
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Guzman N. (G) 
Garza J. 
Joaquim 
Aguirre R. 
Leyva D. 
Rosero K. 
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