Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)

Referee: Valle J. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Claro Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Inter
World	Pluto TV


	Necaxa		Santos Laguna

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.45	4.95
	1.40	5.16	6.56	Watch
				Watch
	1.58	4.25	4.89	Watch
	1.53	4.45	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.39)	4.5 ↓ (5.4)	5.48 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Necaxa
62%

Draw
20.9%

Santos Laguna
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

17.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

18.1%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Necaxa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Necaxa - Santos Laguna Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Santos Laguna (3.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Santos Laguna (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Santos Laguna (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 1 - 25%). Santos Laguna (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Unsain E. (C) 7. Rosero K. 26. Lara E. 3. Oliveros A. 16. Calderon C. 24. Rossano F. 5. Jacob T. 29. Rodriguez I. 8. Palavecino A. 9. Badaloni T. 27. Cambindo D.	1. Acevedo C. (G) 4. Abella J. (C) 19. Ortega H. 35. Balanta K. 2. Amione B. 6. Guemez J. 21. Villalba F. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 20. Palacios K. 26. Sordo R. 13. Ocejo Zazueta J. A.
Substitutes
13. Andrade A. 17. Cortez R. 14. De Buen D. 12. Jimenez L. (G) 2. Martinez E. 30. Monreal R. 4. Pena A. 15. Perez P. 21. Rojas J. 11. Sanchez R.	99. Barticciotto B. 9. Carrillo J. 7. Dajome C. 17. Echeverria E. 23. Gutierrez E. 33. Holguin H. (G) 204. Jimenez T. 5. Lopez A. 24. Medina D. 188. Perez J.
Coaches
Gago F.	Rodriguez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Amione B. (Own goal),
11', 2 - 0, Cambindo D. ⚽, Calderon C. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Ortega H. ⚽, Palacios K. (A),
38', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 🟨,
42', 3 - 1, Badaloni T. ⚽,
45', Sordo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Guemez J. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
46', Abella J. ↓, Dajome C. ↑,
47', Ortega H. 🟨,
49', Jacob T. 🟨,
55', 4 - 1, Rosero K. ⚽, Cambindo D. (A),
57', Cambindo D. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
64', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. (Pen),
66', Villalba F. ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
66', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↓, Barticciotto B. ↑,
75', Badaloni T. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
84', Rosero K. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
84', Rossano F. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
85', Jacob T. ↓, De Buen D. ↑,
85', Palacios K. ↓, Medina D. ↑,
90+1', Rodriguez I. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 3.

Recent form of Necaxa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Santos Laguna has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Necaxa is the team to beat.

There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Barticciotto B. (Hamstring Injury) Lozano C. (Injury) Ocejo Zazueta J. A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:35. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Necaxa
Mexican Liga MX
26.10.25	Atlético San Luis - Necaxa	3:4 ✺
21.10.25	Necaxa - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Tigres UANL - Necaxa	5:3 ✺
03.10.25	Necaxa - Pachuca	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Atlas - Necaxa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLLL
- Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX
26.10.25	Santos Laguna - Querétaro	3:1 ✺
21.10.25	Mazatlan - Santos Laguna	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Santos Laguna - Club León	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Club América - Santos Laguna	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Monterrey - Santos Laguna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
07.02.25	Necaxa - Santos Laguna	3:2
01.09.24	Santos Laguna - Necaxa	3:2
12.04.24	Necaxa - Santos Laguna	2:0
24.09.23	Santos Laguna - Necaxa	2:5
31.03.23	Necaxa - Santos Laguna	0:0
06.09.22	Santos Laguna - Necaxa	3:1
23.01.22	Santos Laguna - Necaxa	1:4

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