Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 12

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Needham Market		Kidderminster Harriers

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.1	1.62
	4.4	3.6	1.63
	5	3.75	1.63
	5.18	3.8	1.64
	5.22	3.87	1.62
	4.24	4.24	1.67
	5	3.75	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (3.09)	3.87 ↑ (3.53)	1.63 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
19.5%

Draw
23.9%

Kidderminster Harriers
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

26%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

26.3%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Needham Market's form might have worsened.

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kidderminster Harriers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Needham Market, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kidderminster Harriers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Needham Market - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 12).

Needham is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kidderminster is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Kidderminster is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English National League North
12.10.24	Chorley - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Needham Market - South Shields	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Oxford City - Needham Market	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Needham Market - St Albans City	0:3 ✺
English National League North
07.09.24	Needham Market - Farsley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- Kidderminster Harriers
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
English National League North
05.10.24	Spennymoor Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Buxton	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Buxton - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
English National League North
21.09.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Alfreton Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTWTL

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