Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 11

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Victory Park (Chorley)


	Chorley		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6
	1.43	4.1	5.75
	1.47	4.33	6
	1.48	4.3	6.29
	1.49	4.18	6.45	Watch
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.45	4.25	6.35
	1.47	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.45)	4.21 ↑ (4.1)	6.23 ↑ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chorley
63.3%

Draw
21.9%

Needham Market
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

20.8%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Chorley - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Hewitt C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Needham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chorley is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chorley
English National League North
05.10.24	Chorley - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Spennymoor Town - Chorley	1:0 ✺
English National League North
21.09.24	South Shields - Chorley	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Mossley AFC - Chorley	0:3 ✺
English National League North
07.09.24	Chorley - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTWW
- Needham Market
English National League North
05.10.24	Needham Market - South Shields	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Oxford City - Needham Market	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Needham Market - St Albans City	0:3 ✺
English National League North
07.09.24	Needham Market - Farsley	0:1 ✺
03.09.24	Hereford - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLLLW

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