Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 17 October 2023, Tuesday


	Needham Market		York City

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.2
	3.1	3.5	1.93
	2.85	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.32	3.79	1.9
	3.3	3.6	1.91
	3.44	3.7	1.93	Watch
	3.2	3.65	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.82)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	2.02 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
29.2%

Draw
25.3%

York City
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

25.6%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

25.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Needham Market - York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for York: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 0-0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently York have a series of home games.

York will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Needham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English FA Cup
14.10.23	York City - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Needham Market - Cray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.23	Needham Market - Peterborough Sports	3:0 ✺
30.09.23	Peterborough Sports - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
26.09.23	Needham Market - St Ives Town	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWTW
- York City
English FA Cup
14.10.23	York City - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
English National League
07.10.23	York City - Bromley	2:2 ✺
03.10.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - York City	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	York City - Solihull Moors	2:2 ✺
26.09.23	York City - Barnet	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.10.23	York City - Needham Market	0:0

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