Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	York City		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	6
	1.43	4.94	5.09
	1.57	3.75	4.75
	1.43	4.65	6.05	Watch
	1.44	4.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.59)	4.49 ↑ (3.75)	5.5 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
62.8%

Draw
20.5%

Needham Market
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

25%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in York City's performance.

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

York City - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent matches York is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Needham is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match York is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League
07.10.23	York City - Bromley	2:2 ✺
03.10.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - York City	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	York City - Solihull Moors	2:2 ✺
26.09.23	York City - Barnet	2:4 ✺
23.09.23	Woking - York City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWTLW
- Needham Market
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Needham Market - Cray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.23	Needham Market - Peterborough Sports	3:0 ✺
30.09.23	Peterborough Sports - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
26.09.23	Needham Market - St Ives Town	6:1 ✺
23.09.23	AFC Telford United - Needham Market	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWTWW

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