Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Palms Sports Arena (Baku)

Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Neftchi Baku		Şəfa

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	9.00
	1.22	5.15	9.00
	1.27	5.33	10.45
	1.25	5.33	9.78	Watch
	1.26	5.20	9.70
	1.28	5.26	10.50
	1.24	5.40	9.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.32)	5.27 ↑ (4.4)	9.66 ↑ (7.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Baku
73.1%

Draw
17.4%

Şəfa
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

20.4%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Şəfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Neftchi Baku - Şəfa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Balayev E. (G) 3. Abbasov R. 33. Breno Almeida 55. Gravillon A. 17. Khachayev M. 8. Mahmudov E. (C) 18. Mathew I. 77. Sacko F. 97. Sambou B. 11. Skribek A. 29. Tupta L.	1. Mehbaliyev N. (G) 18. Dansoko B. 22. Diaw O. 11. Dragu A. 17. Guel M. 4. Jarjue M. 9. Luis Felipe 34. Mamengi C. 28. Musayev M. (C) 83. Quliyev N. 6. Yusifli F.
Substitutes
91. Azizov N. (G) 93. Cafarov R. (G) 4. Camalov E. 6. D'Almeida S. 20. Gustavo Klismahn 5. Igor Ribeiro 22. Jubitana D. 7. Safarov E. 27. Savic D. 24. Seck M. 88. Sevelj V. 10. Vargas F.	5. Agcabayov A. 23. Aliyev N. 96. Alizada A. (G) 39. Babazada E. 42. Cafarov E. 7. Fuller T. 55. Huseynli R. 99. Huseynov M. (G) 10. Mertens D. 8. Pop V. 3. Quliyev T. 21. Zulfugarli I.
Coaches
Vernydub Y.	Hashimov Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Abbasov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Sambou B. ↓, Vargas F. ↑,
46', Diaw O. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
46', Dansoko B. ↓, Fuller T. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Musayev M. ⚽,
59', Luis Felipe 🟨,
63', Luis Felipe ↓, Aliyev N. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Skribek A. ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, Skribek A. ⚽,
68', Mathew I. ↓, Safarov E. ↑,
69', Mahmudov E. ↓, Gustavo Klismahn ↑,
77', Yusifli F. ↓, Huseynli R. ↑,
79', 4 - 1, Breno Almeida (Penalty Awarded),
80', Gustavo Klismahn 🟨,
81', Skribek A. ↓, Sevelj V. ↑,
84', Breno Almeida ↓, Savic D. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).

Neftchi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Neftchi is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Neftci Baku	6	5	0	1	18:5	13	15
10	Safa Baku	6	1	0	5	2:11	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
30.08.26	Zira - Neftchi Baku	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan	5:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Dinamo Minsk - Neftchi Baku	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	Neftchi Baku - Dinamo Minsk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWL
- Şəfa FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
29.08.26	Şəfa - İmişli	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Gabala - Şəfa	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Zira - Şəfa	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
22.05.26	Zagatala - Şəfa	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Şəfa - Cəbrayıl	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLW

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