Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 22

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium (Dammam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	on.cc
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al-Qadisiya		Neom

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.75	5.75
	1.49	4.45	5.5
	1.51	4.4	5.93
	1.51	4.49	5.59	Watch
	1.44	3.8	5.5
	1.59	4.11	6.3	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.58)	4.17 ↓ (4.25)	5.72 ↑ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qadisiya
61.6%

Draw
22.2%

Neom
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

21.8%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

20.8%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Al Qadisiya - Neom Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Al-Qadisiya (1.12) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Qadisiya will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 1 - 50%). Neom (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Casteels K. (G) 8. Nandez N. 4. Thakri J. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 17. Alvarez G. 11. Hazazi A. A. 10. Al Juwayr M. 5. Weigl J. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 32. Retegui M. 33. Quinones J.	81. Maximiano L. (G) 4. Al Dawsari K. 44. Zeze N. 26. Hegazy A. (C) 18. Al Haji A. 25. Abdi F. 2. Al Burayk M. 72. Kone A. 80. Messi R. 19. Rodriguez L. 91. Lacazette A.
Substitutes
23. Al Ahmad W. 7. Al Ammar T. 28. Al Kassar A. (G) 9. Al Salem A. 12. Al Shahrani Y. 19. Asiri H. 27. Houssa E. 40. Mahnashi I. 24. Qasem M.	71. Abdu A. 11. Al Ali H. 88. Al Hakim M. (G) 93. Al Saluli A. 47. Al Shanqeeti Y. 51. Carabali J. 95. Fallatah A. 27. Hawsawi I. 1. Malayekah M. (G)
Coaches
Rodgers B.	Galtier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Thakri J. ↓, Al Ahmad W. ↑,
46', Hazazi A. A. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,
52', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,
65', Weigl J. 🟨,
76', Retegui M. 🟨,
80', Zeze N. 🟨,
87', Messi R. ↓, Al Ali H. ↑,
90+3', Al Dawsari K. ↓, Al Saluli A. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Nandez N. ⚽, Al Ahmad W. (A),
90+7', Al Ammar T. 🟨,
90+7', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Al Shahrani Y. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 8).

Al-Qadisiya is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Neom has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Al-Qadisiya is considered a favorite.

We predict that Al-Qadisiya will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Qadisiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Qadsiah	8	6	1	1	21:8	13	19
5	Neom SC	8	5	1	2	14:7	7	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
07.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al Fateh	1:1 ✺
03.02.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Qadisiya	0:1 ✺
29.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Hilal	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Qadisiya	1:3 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWTWW
- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
06.02.26	Neom - Al-Riyadh	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Al Akhdoud - Neom	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Neom - Damac	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Neom - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Neom	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
19.10.25	Neom - Al-Qadisiya	1:3

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