Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 32

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: King Khalid Sports City (Tabuk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
World	Onefootball


	Neom		Al-Shabab Riyadh

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	2.88
	2.08	3.75	3
	2.16	3.87	3.14
	2.04	4.07	3.06
	2.05	3.4	2.8
	2.09	3.88	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.26)	3.76 ↑ (3.51)	2.98 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neom
44.5%

Draw
24.6%

Al-Shabab Riyadh
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

26.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neom than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Neom - Al Shabab Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Neom will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Bulka M. (G) 4. Al Dawsari K. 26. Hegazy A. (C) 44. Zeze N. 25. Abdi F. 15. Al Oyayari A. 18. Al Haji A. 72. Kone A. 19. Rodriguez L. 10. Benrahma S. 91. Lacazette A.	43. Marcelo Grohe (G) 5. Makki A. 2. Al Shwirekh M. 4. Hoedt W. 17. Al Thani M. 8. Brownhill J. 14. Sierro V. 99. Azaizeh A. 29. Adli Y. 22. Al Hammami H. 10. Carrasco Y. (C)
Substitutes
2. Al Burayk M. 7. Al Faraj S. 14. Al Saad M. 93. Al Saluli A. 95. Fallatah A. 61. Gharwi Y. 27. Hawsawi I. 1. Malayekah M. (G) 80. Messi R.	40. Al Asmari A. 33. Al Mahasneh M. (G) 91. Al Othman A. 94. Al Rajeh M. 20. Al Sayyali B. 16. Al Sibyani H. K. A. 6. Al Subiani F. 7. Hernandez U. 37. Matuq A.
Coaches
Galtier C.	Zekri N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Al Shwirekh M. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Benrahma S. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 2 - 0, Benrahma S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Al Shwirekh M. ↓, Al Asmari A. ↑,
46', Azaizeh A. ↓, Al Othman A. ↑,
49', Benrahma S. ↓, Al Saad M. ↑,
66', Al Oyayari A. ↓, Al Faraj S. ↑,
66', Rodriguez L. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
73', Makki A. ↓, Al Sibyani H. K. A. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Carrasco Y. ⚽, Adli Y. (A),
78', Sierro V. ↓, Al Sayyali B. ↑,
80', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,
85', Al Hammami H. ↓, Matuq A. ↑,
90+2', Al Saad M. ↓, Hawsawi I. ↑,
90+2', Kone A. ↓, Al Burayk M. ↑,
90+7', Al Othman A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 13).

In recent matches, Neom has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Shabab is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Shabab may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Al-Shabab has had a series of home games.

Neom could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neom won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Outrights of Saudi Professional League for now

Neom SC: 1.23% Al Shabab: 0.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Neom SC	8	5	1	2	14:7	7	16
14	Al Shabab	7	0	4	3	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
02.05.26	Al Fateh - Neom	2:2 ✺
28.04.26	Neom - Al Hazem	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Al-Najma - Neom	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Neom	3:4 ✺
04.04.26	Neom - Al-Feiha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTLWW
- Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
07.05.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:4 ✺
03.05.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:5 ✺
28.04.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh	1:1 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
23.04.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Rayyan	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Zakho - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
14.01.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Neom	3:2

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