Match Info

I Lyga - Round 3

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Neptūnas		Garliava

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.34	4.55	7.1	Watch
	1.34	5.36	6.5
	1.34	5.18	6.46	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.37	4.7	7.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)	4.8 ↑ (4.33)	6.68 ↓ (8.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
67.3%

Draw
19%

Garliava
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

20.9%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Garliava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Neptūnas - Garliava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Ambrazevicius I. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Rakasius T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 4.

Garliava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Neptūnas is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Neptunas	25	14	2	9	33:30	3	44
10	Garliava	25	8	4	13	31:28	3	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
13.03.26	FA Šiauliai B - Neptūnas	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.02.26	Tauras Tauragė - Neptūnas	1:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
22.11.25	Riteriai - Neptūnas	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Neptūnas - Riteriai	0:0 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
09.11.25	Neptūnas - Panevėžys 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLTW
- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
14.03.26	Garliava - Jonava	2:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
27.05.25	Garliava - Panevėžys	0:3 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
08.11.24	Garliava - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:4 ✺
02.11.24	Panevėžys 2 - Garliava	3:1 ✺
26.10.24	Garliava - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
14.09.24	Garliava - Neptūnas	0:2
26.04.24	Neptūnas - Garliava	1:0
25.08.23	Garliava - Neptūnas	0:1
07.04.23	Neptūnas - Garliava	1:2
10.09.22	Garliava - Neptūnas	2:3
13.05.22	Neptūnas - Garliava	2:0
Lithuanian Cup
06.05.22	Garliava - Neptūnas	0:2

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