The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Neptūnas 70.9%
Draw 17.4%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 11.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
22.2%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
21.5%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neptūnas's performance.
Hegelmann Litauen 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hegelmann Litauen 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neptūnas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hegelmann Litauen 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Neptūnas - Hegelmann Litauen 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 5th and 14th in the I Lyga (Relegation)).
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
The betting markets point to Neptūnas as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Neptūnas has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:4 (averaging 2.4:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Neptūnas against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:0 goals (averaging 3.5:0 per game).