Match Info

Date: 2 March 2021, Tuesday


	Neuchâtel Xamax		Chiasso

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.85
	2.25	3	3.05
	2.3	3.15	2.85
	2.34	3.43	3.08
	2.3	3.2	3	Watch
	2.3	3.44	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.93)	3.27 ↓ (3.85)	2.96 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neuchâtel Xamax
40.5%

Draw
28.3%

Chiasso
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

24.4%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

16.3%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neuchâtel Xamax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neuchâtel Xamax's form might have worsened.

Chiasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neuchâtel Xamax that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiasso than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chiasso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Neuchâtel Xamax - Chiasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Xamax is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chiasso is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chiasso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Xamax won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Xamax won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League
26.02.21	Kriens - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:1 ✺
23.02.21	Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax	4:0 ✺
20.02.21	Neuchâtel Xamax - Winterthur	3:1 ✺
05.02.21	Neuchâtel Xamax - Thun	0:3 ✺
02.02.21	Wil 1900 - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWLL
- FC Chiasso
Swiss Challenge League
26.02.21	Chiasso - Wil 1900	1:0 ✺
20.02.21	Kriens - Chiasso	2:0 ✺
13.02.21	Chiasso - Schaffhausen	1:1 ✺
06.02.21	Grasshoppers - Chiasso	1:1 ✺
02.02.21	Chiasso - Lausanne Ouchy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
29.01.21	Neuchâtel Xamax - Chiasso	2:0
24.11.20	Chiasso - Neuchâtel Xamax	3:2
30.04.18	Neuchâtel Xamax - Chiasso	1:0
26.02.18	Chiasso - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:3
15.10.17	Neuchâtel Xamax - Chiasso	4:1
28.07.17	Chiasso - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:2
17.04.17	Neuchâtel Xamax - Chiasso	3:0

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