Match Info

Challenge League - Round 32

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Maladière (Neuchâtel)

Referee: Gianforte N. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom


	Neuchâtel Xamax		Thun

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.77
	4.2	3.8	1.73
	4.5	4.02	1.71
	4.42	3.9	1.72	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.85
	4.45	3.8	1.69	Watch
	4.2	3.8	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.65)	3.76 ↓ (3.79)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Neuchâtel Xamax
22.2%

Draw
24.6%

Thun
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

24.5%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

23.9%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neuchâtel Xamax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Neuchâtel Xamax - Thun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Omeragic E. (G) 19. Cabral E. 5. Hajrulahu L. 4. Gunnarsson N. 23. Goncalves M. 42. Bamba G. 7. Fatkic K. (C) 10. Touati H. 6. Saiz F. 99. Mulaj L. 9. Demhasaj S.	24. Steffen N. (G) 37. Dahler L. 4. Montolio G. 19. Bamert J. 47. Fehr F. 6. Bertone L. (C) 70. Reichmuth N. 8. Janjicic V. 7. Castroman M. 11. Stewart L. 74. Rastoder E.
Substitutes
88. Araz M. 35. Azemi A. 11. Ben Seghir S. 18. Hautier J. 20. Kone K. 31. Lentini F. 1. Mossi A. (G) 38. Soro B. 34. Zahaj A.	5. Franke D. 29. Frith D. 33. Gutbub M. 18. Ibayi C. 25. Marcolli L. 77. Meichtry F. 16. Roth J. 46. Sessolo H. 1. Ziswiler N. (G)
Coaches
Braizat A.	Lustrinelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Bertone L. (Pen),
20', Goncalves M. 🟨,
28', 0 - 2, Rastoder E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gunnarsson N. ↓, Lentini F. ↑,
46', Touati H. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
51', Saiz F. 🟨,
55', Castroman M. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
55', Rastoder E. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
74', Janjicic V. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑,
74', Stewart L. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
76', Mulaj L. ↓, Azemi A. ↑,
76', Saiz F. ↓, Hautier J. ↑,
79', Hautier J. 🟨,
86', Demhasaj S. ↓, Ben Seghir S. ↑,
87', Reichmuth N. ↓, Sessolo H. ↑,
90+5', Cabral E. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Xamax won 1.

Recent matches Xamax is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Thun is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Thun is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Xamax won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 28:36 (average 1.4:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Xamax won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:21 (average 1.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League
18.04.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:0 ✺
11.04.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Vaduz - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Schaffhausen	6:2 ✺
28.03.25	Thun - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLWL
- FC Thun
Swiss Challenge League
21.04.25	Thun - Wil 1900	7:0 ✺
11.04.25	Stade Nyonnais - Thun	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Thun - Schaffhausen	3:0 ✺
31.03.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Thun	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	Thun - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
28.03.25	Thun - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1
22.11.24	Neuchâtel Xamax - Thun	2:3
27.09.24	Thun - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:0
06.04.24	Thun - Neuchâtel Xamax	4:0
23.02.24	Neuchâtel Xamax - Thun	4:0
07.10.23	Thun - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:1
11.08.23	Neuchâtel Xamax - Thun	4:0

Upcoming Matches