Match Info

I Lyga - Round 25

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Kedainiai Stadium (Kedainiai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Nevėžis		Tauras Tauragė

	1	X	2
	5.35	4.05	1.48	Watch
	5.66	4.09	1.53
	5.07	3.74	1.61	Watch
	4.95	4.17	1.57	Watch
	6.27	4.2	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.46 ↓ (6.58)	4.05 ↓ (4.4)	1.53 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nevėžis
16.9%

Draw
22.7%

Tauras Tauragė
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

20.8%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

20.4%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevėžis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Tauras Tauragė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tauras Tauragė than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tauras Tauragė could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nevėžis - Tauras Tauragė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Urbonas E. (G) 5. Avizovas U. 23. Havryliuk N. 22. Lukosevicius A. (C) 11. Mohil Y. 30. Monkelis M. 99. Rukuiza K. 4. Soroka R. 18. Tymoshenko I. 47. Veldman M. 35. Zuperka R. A.	1. Macaitis S. (G) 9. Dovgyi O. 94. Dusevicius E. (C) 7. Jorge Eduardo 50. Kondrotas V. 44. Nwegbo D. 18. Nwosu D. 16. Paulius S. 77. Sirka J. 88. Trijonis P. 8. Vaitkunas E.
Substitutes
34. Granauskas R. (G) 9. Kouoh B. 28. Lozano J. 12. Manasyan R. (G) 3. Martinkus N. 14. Mezinis G. 8. Mikuckis R. 91. Petkevicius M.	10. Baidoo A. 11. Dosse S. 14. Galbuogis G. 51. Lankauskas K. (G) 17. Nyuiadzi S. 21. Pikciunas M. 22. Pilypas T. 4. Statkus M. 19. Totilas N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
21', 0 - 1, Nwegbo D. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Nwegbo D. ⚽,
28', Avizovas U. ↓, Mikuckis R. ↑,
39', Soroka R. ↓, Kouoh B. ↑,
45+1', 0 - 3, Nwegbo D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 🟨,
56', 0 - 4, Nwegbo D. ⚽,
67', Kouoh B. 🟨,
68', Rukuiza K. ↓, Petkevicius M. ↑,
70', 0 - 5, Jorge Eduardo ⚽,
75', Zuperka R. A. 🟨,
78', Nwegbo D. ↓, Nyuiadzi S. ↑,
78', Nwosu D. ↓, Baidoo A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Tauras has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tauras is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nevėžis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Nevėžis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
19.09.25	Neptūnas - Nevėžis	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Nevėžis - Babrungas Plungė	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Nevėžis - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Nevėžis - Transinvest	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Nevėžis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTTLW
- Tauras Tauragė
Lithuanian Division 2
20.09.25	Jonava - Tauras Tauragė	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Tauras Tauragė - Neptūnas	1:4 ✺
29.08.25	Babrungas Plungė - Tauras Tauragė	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Tauras Tauragė	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Transinvest - Tauras Tauragė	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
24.05.25	Tauras Tauragė - Nevėžis	2:1
19.10.24	Tauras Tauragė - Nevėžis	2:1
01.06.24	Nevėžis - Tauras Tauragė	1:0
01.04.17	Tauras Tauragė - Nevėžis	0:1

Nevėžis - Tauras Tauragė: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide