Match Info

MLS

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: BMO Field (Toronto, ON)

Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Toronto FC		Columbus Crew

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.15
	3.15	3.45	2.22	Watch
	3.21	3.62	2.24
	3.01	3.65	2.24	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.2
	3.22	3.58	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.89)	3.51 ↓ (3.56)	2.22 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Toronto FC
30.3%

Draw
26.9%

Columbus Crew
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

26.6%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	13.3%	46.7%

Toronto FC - Columbus Crew Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Columbus will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Columbus: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gavran L. (G) 22. Laryea R. 25. Zimmerman W. 13. Kuscevic B. 29. Kerr D. 21. Osorio J. (C) 14. Coello A. 8. Cifuentes J. 44. Edwards R. 9. Sargent J. 20. Salloi D.	28. Schulte P. (G) 2. Herrera A. 31. Moreira S. 25. Zawadzki S. (C) 18. Amundsen M. 27. Arfsten M. 7. Chambost D. 20. Gomes A. 10. Rossi D. 16. Habroune T. 9. Abou Ali W.
Substitutes
17. Aristizabal E. 71. Cimermancic M. 11. Etienne D. 19. Franklin K. 78. Henry M. 10. Mihailovic D. 12. Monlouis Z. 6. Thompson K. 23. Yarbrough W. (G)	90. Akhundzade N. 17. Bangoura S. 4. Camacho R. 21. Cheberko Y. 8. Gazdag D. 1. Hagen N. (G) 30. Picard H. 14. Sejdic A. 19. Thiare J.
Coaches
Fraser R.	Rydstrom H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Abou Ali W. ⚽, Arfsten M. (A), Chambost D. (A2)
7', Herrera A. 🟨,
45', Chambost D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sargent J. ↓, Mihailovic D. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Cifuentes J. ⚽, Salloi D. (A), Laryea R. (A2)
66', Chambost D. ↓, Camacho R. ↑,
66', Habroune T. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
76', Cifuentes J. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
76', Kerr D. ↓, Aristizabal E. ↑,
82', Arfsten M. ↓, Picard H. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Zimmerman W. ⚽,
87', Zimmerman W. 🟨,
88', Rossi D. ↓, Bangoura S. ↑,
88', Gomes A. ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,
90+2', Coello A. ↓, Monlouis Z. ↑,
90+8', Thiare J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.

Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Toronto: Corbeanu T. (Knee Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vilsaint J. (Illness) Wingo H. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Columbus: Farsi M. (Pelvis Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).

Outrights of MLS for now

Columbus Crew: 0.69% Toronto FC: 0.69%

Last Results with these Odds

Toronto FC - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.71%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Columbus Crew - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.74%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto FC
MLS
14.03.26	Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Cincinnati - Toronto FC	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Toronto FC	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	FC Dallas - Toronto FC	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.02.26	Toronto FC - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLLL
- Columbus Crew
MLS
14.03.26	Columbus Crew - Nashville SC	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Columbus Crew - Chicago Fire	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Sporting Kansas City - Columbus Crew	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Portland Timbers - Columbus Crew	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Cincinnati - Columbus Crew	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
20.09.25	Columbus Crew - Toronto FC	1:1
16.08.25	Toronto FC - Columbus Crew	1:1
18.09.24	Toronto FC - Columbus Crew	0:2
06.07.24	Columbus Crew - Toronto FC	4:0
26.08.23	Columbus Crew - Toronto FC	2:0
11.03.23	Toronto FC - Columbus Crew	1:1
29.06.22	Toronto FC - Columbus Crew	1:2

Upcoming Matches